Southwell top racing tip (2030): New stable, drop in class and recent form adds up to Easy Equation

20:30 Southwell: Bet On The Grand National at PlanetSportBet Handicap (2 miles ½ furlong)

The early-morning withdrawal of the well-fancied Three Dons has tightened up the betting and also had a big impact on each-way prospects by reducing the field to just seven runners.

Planet Sport Bet Daily Special: Bet £20+ cash on any runner in the race and if Toscan Genius finishes in the first 3 places, get a £5 Free Bet

After kicking off the year with four straight frame finishes Foinix poses a threat under Jim Crowley, but the promising four-year-old remains winless in 11 outings and looks short of the quality required to beat the well-backed favourite, Easy Equation.

The capable six-year-old has been raced more sparingly since coming under the wing of Charlie Fellowes, and although yet to register a win for his new yard, he has made the frame on all three outings so far this term.

His best yet was last time out at Newcastle five weeks ago, when he kept on strongly under Danny Tudhope, but was never quite able to reach the winner.

That performance bodes well for this return to Southwell, where Easy Equation is a course-distance winner a year ago, and where he gave a good account of himself to come runner-up of 12 on his stable debut in December.

The first eight home in that 0-65 handicap were all rated higher than anything he will face in this lower 0-55 affair, and with the dependable Kieran Shoemark at the helm, he could give his connections some overdue success here.

Suggested best bet: Easy Equation in the 20:30 at Southwell

• Tip advised by Black Squid Tips on Tipstrr

 

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