Brentford vs Everton tips: Back the Bees to record first home win of the season
Planet Sport Bet ambassador Robbie Savage is backing Brentford to record their first home win of the Premier League season against Everton.
It’s going to be really tough for Sean Dyche’s side. They can’t score goals. Luckily for them, this game is away from home because they just can’t score a goal at Goodison Park.
This game gives them an opportunity to get more points on the board but I don’t think they will.
I thought Brentford were unlucky not to get anything at Newcastle last time out. I just think being at Brentford, I think Brentford will win the game and I’ve got to say Everton to nil again.
Robbie’s tip: Brentford 2-0 Everton
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Brentford vs Everton team news
Ivan Toney is serving a suspension that runs for the remainder of this year so Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa will continue in attack.
Joshua Dasilva, Shandon Baptiste and Rico Henry are unavailable but Mikkel Damsgaard, Kristoffer Ajer and Bee Mee could return in a boost to Brentford’s defence.
Dele Alli, Seamus Coleman, Jack Harrison and Andre Gomes are long-term absentees for Everton.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin could partner Beto in a more positive approach to attack, while Amadou Onana, James Tarkowski and Jordan Pickford make up the spine of the team.
- Brentford have never lost a home match against Everton, winning five and drawing three.
- Brentford have taken a lead in 15 of 16 home matches, including the last 10.
- Bryan Mbeumo is Brentford’s top scorer with four goals in five matches.
- Everton had produced an xG value of 6.1 this season but have only scored twice.
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Brentford continue to quietly go about their business despite the absence of Ivan Toney. This feels like a golden opportunity having drawn all three of their home matches.
Callum Wilson’s decisive penalty aside, Brentford actually limited the Toon to one of their lowest xG values from open play last week.
The lack of victories isn’t representative of their performances. Frank’s men have produced considerably bigger chances than their opponents in those three matches.
The Bees outshone Bournemouth, 2.91-2.09, and Tottenham, 2.22-1.27, in the xG stakes and created 10 big chances across those two matches. Interestingly, they’ve never lost at home to Everton.
The Toffees have struggled to create chances and when they do, they rarely end up in the back of the net. Given their struggles, the hosts will be targeting this match for a first clean sheet.