Euro 2024 qualifier: Scotland vs Spain verdict, predicted score, key stats and suggested bets

Euro 2024 qualifier, Group A, Tuesday, March 28, Kick-off 7.45pm, live on Viaplay Sports 1.

Scotland 2-1 Spain

Scotland vs Spain BTTS, yes

Scotland vs Spain, total home goals, over 0.5

Scotland have only beaten Spain competitively twice

Scotland have won 11 of their last 16 games

Spain have won six of their 10 games

They have kept six clean sheets in that time

EC: Spain 3-1 Scotland, October 2011

EC: Scotland 2-3 Spain, October 2010

Fr: Spain 1-1 Scotland, September 2004

Fr: Spain 0-0 Scotland, April 1988

Che Adams limped off injured just before the hour mark against Cyprus and he alongside right-back Anthony Ralston have left the squad.

Lawrence Shankland has replaced Ralston in the squad. Lyndon Dykes will start in attack.

Scott McTominay scored two goals against Cyprus from the bench and he will likely start, while Ryan Christie could also have forced his way into starting contention.

Spain could make changes although captain Alvaro Morata will likely start again despite Joselu's two-goal salvo.

Full-backs Dani Carvajal and Alejandro Balde are likely to get a rest with Pedro Porro and Jose Gaya coming in.

Rodri will start if he has recovered from the heavy challenge from Martin Odegaard, if not Fabian Ruiz will replace him. Dani Ceballos, Yeremy Pino and Nico Williams could all start.

Spain defeated Norway 3-0 over the weekend.

Scotland beat Cyprus 3-0 last time out.

Steve Clarke after the win over Cyprus: "It's all about the squad. One of the things I said to them before the game was that our squad is our strength so we need to utilise it.

"When you think of the impact of Lyndon Dykes, Ryan Christie and Scott McTominay coming off the bench, it's not bad.

"Cyprus also at that time have to come out and try to get to 1-1 so they take a defender off, open the game a little bit and we manage to capitalise on it, which is nice."

Luis de la Fuente after the win over Norway: "The attitude I've seen, the desire to win, makes me very optimistic. It's normal to suffer in matches at this level. I'm happy with the attitude that we showed, it gives me reason to be very optimistic. We will keep improving."

These two teams rarely meet. In fact they have only faced each other competitively eight times with the last of those games more than 12 years ago. That ended in a 3-1 home win for Spain, but they might well find things tougher at Hampden on Tuesday.

Spain were knocked out of the World Cup by Morocco on penalties in the round of 16 and Saturday's performance in the win over Norway will have done little to banish those demons.

The 3-0 win over Norway was flattering to say the least. Norway were without Erling Haaland and he would have surely netted one of the number of chances that Spain gave up. Norway were looking like they may force a draw until Joselu climbed off the bench to score twice.

Spain dominated possession (63.5%) under new boss Luis de la Fuente, but they did not look quite as obsessed with the ball as previously. They failed to cut through a decent Norway team and afforded the visitors a number of chances.

It's worth noting that Spain had won their last 23 European home qualifiers and they are a different animal away from home and were held by the Czech Republic in the Nations League.

De la Fuente made seven changes to the side that lost to Morocco and they got the job done - it just was not as convincing a performance as the scoreline suggests.

Norway (43) are ranked one place below Scotland and the hosts look capable of causing Spain problems.

They defeated Cyprus 3-0 over the weekend with two late goals of their own. They were rarely under any real pressure and dominated possession. But it will be a different game against Spain and Scotland will have to sit deep and defend in spells of the match.

But Clarke does have a decent blend of creativity and hardwork in his midfield and the Scots have enough ability to create chances. Whether they can take enough of those chances will be key in a game in which they are 9/2 outsiders.

But they could be a bit of value against a team in transition, who have slipped up now and again away from home.

Hampden will be a sell-out and Scotland's passionate home support could be crucial in what may be a historic night for the hosts.