Soccer

    Newcastle v Arsenal: Predictions, tips and bet builder as Gunners target Carabao Cup comeback

    George DempseyGeorge Dempsey5 February 2025
    Alexander Isak of Newcastle United celebrates

    Alexander Isak of Newcastle United celebrates

    Newcastle will book their place in a second Carabao Cup final in three years if they can protect a 2-0 lead against Arsenal on Wednesday (2000 GMT).

    The Gunners showed no mercy as they thumped five past a helpless Man City at the weekend, warming up in style for a fixture that demands they score at least twice.

    Given the form Alexander Isak is in this season, it's fair to say the Gunners may need to find the net three or more times, so we're expecting an action-packed evening.

    Wednesday’s Carabao Cup bet builder is priced at 17/1 at the time of writing with Bet365.

     

    Newcastle v Arsenal bet builder

    Arsenal: Over 7.5 corners - 1/1

    Newcastle: Over 2.5 cards - 6/5

    Gabriel: Over 0.5 shots on target - 12/5

    Bruno: Over 1.5 fouls - 4/5

     

    Arsenal over 7.5 corners

    We have to assume that Arsenal are going to put Newcastle under significant pressure on Wednesday, particularly earlier in the game.

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    Eddie Howe’s side may look to stand firm for the opening 30 minutes and protect their box as best they can to avoid handing the Gunners any early momentum.

    In that scenario, it’s easy to see how Mikel Arteta’s side may rack up the corners. They aren’t prolific on the road, though Newcastle do allow six per game on average.

     

    Newcastle over 2.5 cards

    Another consequence of Newcastle’s approach to this fixture could be fouls and cards. It will serve them well to break the game up and halt Arsenal’s momentum at regular intervals.

    Not only that, tempers could flare if the visitors do find a way back into the game.

    This has been a fiery fixture at the best of times with 19 yellow cards brandished across four meetings.

     

    Gabriel 1+ shot on target

    There’s little point backing Gabriel to have one shot at goal with odds of 1/3 on offer.

    However, he’s usually a shoo-in to get his head on the end of at least one of Arsenal’s tricky setpiece routines, and he may see more opportunities than usual if this game plays out how we expect.

     

    Bruno Guimaraes over 1.5 fouls

    Newcastle’s engine room is up there with the best of them with Joelinton and Bruno Guimaraes setting the tempo in games.

    The former may miss out as he’s an injury doubt, so they’ll be relying on the former to make his presence felt.

    He’s averaging the best part of two fouls per game but he may beat that average if this game gets physical.

     

    READ MORE: Wednesday's both teams to score tips: Best free BTTS predictions