Wolverhampton best bets (1515): Sir Busker can convert recent near misses into overdue success

15:15 Wolverhampton: BetMGM Lincoln Trial Handicap (1 mile 142 yards)

Brandon Wilkie’s useful claim means that Sir Busker effectively runs off a mark that is 4-5lbs lower than for his two big Class 2 handicap runs at Newcastle in December and January, finishing second of nine (beaten 1.75l) and third of 13 (beaten 2.25l) respectively.

They were won by two very classy types in To Catch A Thief, a lightly-raced William Haggas three-year-old, and Penzance, who has since won two further Class 2 handicaps off higher marks to complete a 4-timer.

Splitting Penzance and Sir Busker in that most recent Newcastle race was Storm Catcher, who has since won a Class 2 over 9.5f at this venue.

So the three who finished ahead of Sir Busker in those two big handicaps were very useful indeed and Sir Busker is now effectively 4-5lbs lower, without having to worry about any of them this time.

Nicely positioned in stall 3 today, and having produced his top three all-weather runs on his last three outings (in December and January), he is better than ever in this sphere and is in the form to land one of these big handicaps.

His yard won a valuable prize over in Meydan with one of only two runners they have sent out in the last fortnight, and everything is in place for a big run from Sir Busker today.

Suggested best bet: Sir Busker each-way in the 15:35 at Wolverhampton

• Tips and analysis provided by Steve Jones who runs CD Systems Daily Bargain on Tipstrr

Of the others, Kingdom Come looks the right favourite on the back of his two very solid runs since returning from a 224-day break last month, finishing runner-up behind the highly progressive Doctor Khan (who was completing a four-timer) in a Class 2 over the shorter seven-furlong trip at this venue.

Planet Sport Bet Daily Special: Bet £20+ cash on any runner in the race and if Kingdom Come wins, get a £5 Free Bet

Kingdom Come followed up that encouraging return with a third of eight in a Class 2 over a mile at Lingfielda week ago, when he was never nearer than at the line on a very quick track that looked a bit sharp for him.

Nevertheless, he extended his career all-weather figures to 11123 with the promise of plenty more to come, and this slightly longer distance on a slower surface should be ideal now that he is proven around here.

READ MORE: Saturday ITV racing tips: Best bets for Sandown and Wolverhampton on March 9