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Uttoxeter best each-way bet: Foxboro can defy huge odds in wide open Midlands Grand National

After a memorable week at Cheltenham (a 25/1 winner and four places from five selections), our resident trends analyst Andrew of Fiosrach focuses his expert eye on the big race on Uttoxeter’s card.

15:00 Uttoxeter: bet365 Midlands Grand National Handicap Chase (4 miles 2 furlongs)

In last year’s Midlands Grand National I managed to land 25/1 winner Major Dundee for Planet Sport readers, so hopefully I can do the same this time! On top of that, we also selected Notachance at 33/1 and he managed to come third, so an incredibly positive result.

This has always been one of my favourite betting races of the year, and as usual I will attempt to find the winner by using the trends below to narrow the field of 13 runners, which seems a fairly small field for a race of this nature.

  • 18/20 – Aged 9 or younger 
  • 18/20 – Had won 1-4 races over fences 
  • 18/20 – Carried 10st-12lb or less 
  • 18/20 – Had won over at least 3 miles (fences) 
  • 16/20 – Won by an Irish bred horse 
  • 15/20 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks 
  • 14/20 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before 
  • 14/20 – Carried 10st-10lb or less 
  • 14/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out 
  • 13/20 – Unplaced favourites 
  • 12/20 – Officially rated 135 or less 
  • 11/20 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting 
  • 11/20 – Aged 7 or 8 years old 
  • 10/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting 
  •   6/20 – Won last time out 
  •   4/20 – Trained by David Pipe 
  •   3/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse 
  •   3/20 – Winning favourites 
  • 10/13  - aged 8 or 9 
  •   5/11 - ridden by a conditional jockey
  • The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/1 

Having used the trends above I have ended up with a shortlist of three runners:

Foxboro is the outsider of the field, but won over a long trip last time at Exeter when tried further than three miles for the first time. 

Suggested best bet: Foxboro each-way in the 15:00 at Uttoxeter (Midlands Grand National)

 

Robert Walford’s stable and jockey Harry Kimber are in absolutely amazing form, and this game nine-year-old will be still running when some of his opponents have cried enough on this going. If he is still improving over longer trips, he could end up closer than his price might suggest in this.

Inis Oirr is a proven stayer having won the Edinburgh National at Musselburgh last time out and he tends to jump well. His form on heavy ground is limited, but also questionable as he has finished well beaten on his only try on that going.

Gold Clermont was fourth in the Eider Chase at Newcastle last time out, which is decent form and will manage the going. I am not sure if he has the speed to win this, but off this weight he could run his way into the places.

Suggested best bet: Foxboro each-way in the 15:00 at Uttoxeter (Midlands Grand National)

Inis Oirr is the most likely winner on form and talent, but on the trends, I am suggesting better value might be found with an each-way bet on the complete outsider Foxboro  - and as always, be sure to search for extra places!


READ MORE: Saturday ITV racing tips: Best bets for Kempton and Uttoxeter on March 16

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