Newcastle best each-way bet (1535): Fivethousandtoone bidding to defy outsider odds in sprint final

15:35 Newcastle: BetUK All-Weather Sprint Handicap (6 furlongs)

There’s a whole host of proven sprinters lining up here, with the Gosden’s Cover Up the firm favourite to complete a course hat-trick after landing the odds with room to spare in each of his two February successes over the minimum five-furlong trip.

Should the market leader falter over the extra furlong, there are plenty lining up to pounce, with the chasing pack likely to be led by top weight Albasheer, who is also eyeing a Newcastle three-timer, having won over course and distance here on New Year’s Day, and then again over five furlongs a fortnight ago, both under Hollie Doyle, who is off duty today.

Elsewhere, there are seasoned campaigners aplenty that will fancy their chances of being in the mix here, with prolific performer Summerghand more than capable of having a say in proceedings.

The same argument could be made for the likes of Aberama Gold, Bergerac, Misty Grey and Billyjoh, but our final tentative each-way nod goes to Andrew Balding’s Fivethousandtoone, whose name hopefully belies his chances in a race of this competitive nature.

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Less exposed than most in this field, this likeable six-year-old has been trending in the right direction through his four outings this winter, and having come second of seven at Lingfield in November, he gave another good account when runner-up of 13 behind the re-opposing Albasheer over this course and distance on New Year’s Day.

He lines up six pounds better off against that rival this time around, and that could well be enough to reverse the 1½ lengths that separated them, plus he will be in the capable hands of Oisin Murphy, who was on board when Fivethousandtoone won a six-runner handicap at Kempton last time out six weeks ago.

Three of today's rivals (Batal Dubai, The X O, and Chipstead) were left in Fivethousandtoone’s dust that day, and on similar terms, there’s no reason to suggest that Murphy (25% win rate, 55% place rate this season) couldn’t coax another good run out of his charge here.

Suggested best bet: Fivethousandtoone each-way in the 15:35 at Newcastle

• Tip advised by Sprint King on Tipstrr

 

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