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  • Aintree Best Each Way Bet: Sans Bruit Leads The Trends For The Red Rum Chase

Aintree best each-way bet: Sans Bruit leads the trends for the Red Rum Chase

There’s no shortage of betting options on day one of the Aintree Festival, and our trends analyst Andrew of Fiosrach has taken a closer look at one of the biggest handicaps of the day.

16.40 Aintree: Close Brothers Red Rum Handicap Chase (2 miles Mildmay course)

Our selection on Saturday, Circuit Breaker, was massively backed from 14/1 into 11/4 on the morning of the race before eventually drifting out to 5/1. 

He ultimately finished third, but hopefully most of you managed to jump on that double-digit prices for a reasonable each-way return.

On this opening day of the Aintree Festival and I will use the trends below to narrow down the field and hopefully find the winner:

Planet Sport Bet: Bet £20+ cash on any runner in the race and if Path D’Oroux finishes in the first 3 places, get a £5 Free Bet!

  • 18/20 – Aged 9 or younger 
  • 17/20 – Carried 11st-1lb or less 
  • 14/20 – Carried 10st-13lb or less 
  • 14/20 – Priced less than 11/1 in the betting 
  • 13/20 – Unplaced last time out 
  • 10/20 – Aged 7 or younger 
  • 10/20 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out 
  •   4/20 – Winning favourites 
  •   4/20 – Won last time out 
  •   3/20 – Irish-trained winners 
  • 18/22 -  rated 139 or lower 
  •   4/15 - ridden by conditional jockeys 
  • 17/25 - top 5 in the betting (68%)
  • 20/23 - carried 11st-2lb or less 
  •   7/24 -  ran in that season’s Grand Annual (Cheltenham) 
  •     8/9 - did NOT run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
  •     7/8 - Irish-bred 
  • Only 3 winners older than 9 years-old since 1988
  • Respect trainer Henry De Bromhead – winner 2019 & 2023 and 4 placed horses

Following the application of the trends, we are left with a shortlist of three runners: Sans Bruit, Whiskeywealth and Irish Blaze.

Sans Bruit is a recent French recruit to the stable of Paul Nicholls, who has done well at this meeting in recent years. 

The six-year-old has only had three runs for the champion trainer and looks to have had his mark protected for this race. 

Bryony Frost takes the ride due to the low weight allocated to Sans Bruit, and it will be no surprise to see him improve further and go close off his light weight in this soft going.

Suggested bet: Sans Bruit each-way in the 16:40 at Aintree (Red Rum Chase)


Whiskeywealth won a Listed race on heavy ground at Gowran Park last time and that was a step up in form.

The eight-year-old has gone up in the weights but has the same claimer on board and could still be improving, so should be there or thereabouts.

Irish Blaze is another Irish raider with a seven-pound claimer on board and will be suited by any cut in the Aintree turf. 

He transferred to Cian Collins from the Gordon Elliott stable just before Christmas and has had three runs with his new trainer, winning once and placing on the other two runs.

There are multiple threats elsewhere from the likes of Path D’Oroux, Heltenham, and Homme Public, but based purely on the trends, I am going to suggest an each way bet on Sans Bruit who can assist Paul Nicholls' race to the Champion Trainer’s crown. 

As usual, be sure to look around for best odds and extra places from your bookmakers.

READ MORE: Thursday ITV racing tips: Best Bets for Aintree on April 11


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