Lions @ Packers tips: Game pick and best prop bets for Thursday Night Football
- George Dempsey
- 27 September 2023
The Detriot Lions (2-1) visit the Green Bay Packers (2-1) in a battle of the NFC North contenders at Lambeau Field on Thursday (1.15am BST on Friday).
Lions @ Packers game pick
The Detroit Lions have already shown their worth this season with their win against the Chiefs. Since then, they’ve knocked off the Falcons and lost to the Seahawks.
The Green Bay Packers made mince meat of the Bears on opening weekend before stuttering against the Falcons. We backed them -1.5 last week as they beat the Saints by 1.
Jordan Love has made a positive start to the season as he threw for 259 yards last weekend to turn around an 0-17 fourth-quarter deficit to seal an 18-17 victory.
However, he and his rookie receiving core don’t hold an edge on offence in this one. Jared Goff and the Lions have been good on the ground and in the air thus far.
Goff threw for 243 yards and a touchdown in the 20-6 win over the Falcons while Jahmyr Gibbs led the rushing offensive with 17 carries and 80 of 115 yards.
That’s important because the Green Bay defence will have to find a way. This is a banged-up Packers offence and as well as Love has been doing, he’s only completing 53.1% of passes.
The Lions are only giving up 72 rushing yards per game, which piles the pressure on Love to come up with some plays again.
It’s worth noting that the Packers' defence has done little to stop the run so far, giving up 135 yards per game, and that’s definitely something the Lions can exploit.
Bet: Detroit Lions to win
Lions @ Packers prop bets
In Weeks One and Two, Love completed 15 of 27 passes against the Bears and 14 of 25 against the Falcons.
Prop: Jordan Love under 32.5 passing attempts
Last week, the Saints inexplicably collapsed late on and the Packers defence kept getting the ball back in his hands, allowing him to complete 22 of 44.
Prop: Jordan Love under 19.5 passing completions
The Lions have rushed for more than 100 yards in each of their three games and on the evidence, this could produce their biggest total yet.
David Montgomery (141) and Jahmyr Gibbs (139) lead the way and have each had more than 40 yards on two occasions. With Montgomery potentially out, Gibbs will be their go-to.
