Wednesday Championship acca tips: Ipswich back on track, goals at Home Park

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Our Wednesday EFL acca is currently priced at 11/1 at the time of writing.

EFL Acca

Sunderland to win

Plymouth vs Coventry: Over 2.5 goals

Middlesbrough to win

Ipswich to win

 

Huddersfield Town vs Sunderland

We’re getting a nice price for Sunderland to win away to Huddersfield on Wednesday night. There’s no doubt the odds have been heavily influenced by recent results.

We make the Black Cats odds on but Town put together an unbeaten run of four matches before going toe to toe with Southampton at the weekend.

The Terriers may have enjoyed a bounce under Jon Worthington, but they faced four relegation contenders before their trip to St Mary’s.

They collapsed in the final minutes of a game that just defied convention. Some of the goals were bizarre and there wasn’t a decent chance until Joe Rothwell made it 2-2 in the 50th minute.

On the other hand, Sunderland look poised to make a run after a recent wobble. We also have to think they’ll remember losing 2-1 to Huddersfield at home because it was such a smash-and-grab.

 

Plymouth Argyle vs Coventry City

You have to air on the side of caution when it comes to backing goals in midweek fixtures. For whatever reason, you sometimes get EFL matchdays that just don’t catch fire.

That said, Coventry’s previous midweek fixtures were a 4-1 win over Sheffield Wednesday and a 2-2 draw with Bristol City.

On the other hand, Plymouth’s last four midweek fixtures have finished 2-2, 2-1 and 3-3, and the 1-1 draw with Leeds should have featured more goals.

The numbers say that you won’t find a fixture more likely to produce goals than Coventry away to Plymouth across all three divisions this midweek, with an xG of 3.95.

There have been over 2.5 goals in eight of the last nine Argyle home games and over 3.5 goals in six of those.

Visitors City have scored at least once in each of their previous nine away matches, averaging 1.88 goals per game. They’ve conceded in all but two away games this season.

 

Preston North End vs Middlesbrough

We have to admit this is one of the riskier selections in Wednesday’s acca, but there’s some sound logic to backing Middlesbrough to beat Preston.

It looks a bit like the wheels are coming off at the Riverside, but a higher volume of home games is skewing perception a little here.

Boro have failed to win 10 of 16 at home this season so inconsistency is not a new problem, and they’ve had the distraction of a Carabao Cup run.

On their travels, they’ve won three of four and six of 10. Their last away game was a 3-1 win against Millwall way back in mid-January.

Hosts Preston are in reasonably good form with three wins in four at home and one defeat, against Leeds, in their last five overall.

Boro have the second-best away attack in the league and score in bunches and they’ve already beaten Ryan Lowe’s side 4-0 this season.

 

Millwall vs Ipswich Town

A trip to The Den isn’t what it used to be. There’s nothing particularly intimidating about it on or off the pitch these days.

The atmosphere is largely reflective of the flat performances fans are seeing from the team and if Ipswich can get a hold of the game early, they should be fine.

Middlesbrough, Coventry, Southampton and Leeds have all won here without much trouble and three of the Lions’ four home wins this season have come against sides in the relegation battle.

Ipswich have endured a wobble since losing 4-0 to Leeds but they’re still largely unbeaten and just missing a bit of luck here and there.

The performance against West Brom was full of the hallmarks of a Kieran McKenna side so we think it’s only a matter of time before they bounce back and this is a nice opponent to do that.