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Premier League: Wolves vs Leeds United predicted score, key stats, verdict and suggested bets

Just four points separate these two sides as Leeds United look to close the gap on Wolves and escape the Premier League relegation zone at Molineux on Saturday.

Date, KO time and TV coverage

Premier League, Saturday, March 18, Kick-off 3pm

Predicted score

Wolves 1-0 Leeds Utd

Suggested bets

Wolves to beat Leeds United
Wolves vs Leeds Utd BTTS, no
Wolves vs Leeds Utd under 2.5 goals

Key stats

Leeds have failed to win 12 of their last 13 PL matches
Six of the last 10 meetings have seen under 2.5 goals
Leeds have won just one PL game away from home this season
Six of Leeds' last eight games have gone under 2.5 goals
Wolves have lost five of their last nine games in all competitions

Previous meetings

LC: Wolves 1-0 Leeds Utd, November 2022
PL: Leeds Utd 2-1 Wolves, August 2022
PL: Wolves 2-3 Leeds Utd, March 2022
PL: Leeds Utd 1-1 Wolves, October 2021
PL: Wolves 1-0 Leeds Utd, February 2021

Team news

Diego Costa is out with a knee injury and Sasa Kalajdzic and Chiquinho are both sidelined.
Hugo Bueno is also missing but Boubacar Traore could return and Pablo Sarabia (heel) will need to be assessed.
Tyler Adams is out for Leeds with a hamstring injury and Weston McKennie is likely to replace him. Liam Cooper, Adam Forshaw and Stuart Dallas are all still missing.

Recent form

Wolves have lost two of their last three games
Wolves have failed to score in four of last nine games in all competitions
Leeds have lost five of last eight in all competitions
Leeds have only scored in two of last six games

What has been said?

Julen Lopetegui after his side were denied a penalty against Newcastle: "Yes. For me, it was very, very, very clear - and not only a penalty, maybe a red card. But he [Madley] didn't whistle for a penalty and the VAR doesn't go to the referee, I don't know why. But it was a pity.
"After we had to push a lot against a fantastic team. We deserved more, that's true, but we didn't get a penalty. Today it was very clear. VAR maybe can help more in this case."
Javi Gracia after the draw with Brighton: "To play against this team, in my opinion it's very demanding. It's very demanding because you have to know the way you have to have players, where, when and do it as a team.
"Because if you don't know how to do it, they find a way to progress with different passes and a lot of mobility.
"They are a very good team, that's why my players deserve credit because they followed the plan and did it well."

Verdict

Wolves have only scored 10 goals at home this season, while Leeds average just a goal a game away from Elland Road. And Molineux has not seen both teams score since Brighton won 3-2 back in November.
It's certainly not a venue for goals and the home faithful might be forgiven for getting a refund on their season tickets after netting just 20 home goals last season.
The last nine games in the Black Country have seen just one team score and the last time these sides met was a 1-0 win to the hosts in the EFL Cup. Of course Leeds are under a new manager in Javi Gracia now and they have in fact been more pragmatic in their approach.
They did score twice in the draw with Brighton last weekend, but adopted a different approach to make their point. They abandoned their high press and sat deeper so not to fall into the traps that Brighton set - and it worked to a degree as Leeds made their point courtesy of two superb strikes from Jack Harrison and Patrick Bamford.
The Whites are expected to press more aggressively at Molineux, although Gracia is keen to block up a defence that has conceded 24 times on the road.
Gracia's only away trip with Leeds so far ended in a 1-0 defeat to an out-of-form Chelsea. On that day they conceded possession and managed only two shots on target in a performance that was more containing that attacking.
It could be a similar story at Molineux with Wolves just having enough to get the job done having recently rolled over Liverpool and Spurs at home.

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