MLS tips: Goals on the menu as Atlanta United welcomes Philadelphia Union
Thiago Almada for Atlanta United, June 2023
Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union are likely to serve up goals at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in MLS this weekend.
Two of the Eastern Conference's top teams clash on Sunday as sixth-place Atlanta United faces fourth-place Philadelphia Union.
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*Odds accurate at time tip was posted
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union verdict
Goals are usually guaranteed when Atlanta United play. The last time we said that they drew 0-0 against LAFC, so apologies for those famous last words.
The Three Stripes have scored five and conceded seven in three matches since that draw, which is more in keeping with what we're used to seeing.
At home, Atlanta has scored 24 goals in 10 matches. Betting on over 2.5 goals has been a very profitable angle because not only are they scoring, they can't really defend.
Eight of their 10 visitors have scored a combined tally of 13 goals while Atlanta has surrendered an xG against of roughly a goal per game.
Although it isn't their principal game plan, Philadelphia is capable of doing damage on the break. The hosts won't be safe in or out of possession.
Last week, the Union lead Inter Miami 3-0 at half-time despite taking only four shots with a combined xG of 0.77. They were ruthless.
They're just as deadly on their travels, scoring 11 goals in their previous six outings. Despite averaging nearly two goals per game, they failed to win half of those matches.
Inter Miami, Montreal, Chicago, San Jose and Orlando have all scored two or more against them on their travels.
Our numbers suggest there's a very high probability that both teams find the net, with an equal chance of there being over 2.5 goals.
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