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EFL weekend acca tips: West Brom and Barnsley to boost play-off hopes, goals at Derby, plus more…

There’s another busy weekend of EFL action ahead, and that means plenty of betting options to weigh up and possibly boost by combining them into this week’s accumulator.

EFL football pundit Rhys Tovey, who runs his AGF service on Tipstrr, looks ahead to Saturday’s games to provide a tasty fivefold acca at combined odds of more than 13/1.

 

Weekend EFL Selections:

West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City   West Brom to win (4/5)

Barnsley vs Cheltenham Town   Barnsley to win (3/4)

Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers  Both Teams To Score (4/5)

Gillingham vs Grimsby Town  Under 2.5 Goals (8/11)

Salford City vs Morecambe  Both Teams To Score (3/5)

(all odds correct at time of article publication)

Planet Sport Bet Acca Bonus: Place £5+ on a correct acca and get up to 50% bonus to your winnings (minimum 5-fold)

 

West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City

West Brom have been very strong at the Hawthorns, where they boast the fifth best home record in the league, which has mainly been down to their excellent defence, keeping clean sheets in half of their home fixtures.

The Baggies come into this game in good form, unbeaten in five. Only one of those five was at home, a win over playoff rivals Coventry, with the others all being good results away in some very tricky fixtures. A 2-0 defeat to a strong Southampton side is the only game West Brom have not won over their last seven at the Hawthorns.

Bristol City ended a run of four successive defeats when they beat Swansea last weekend in what was a very drab encounter. They do not have an awful record on their travels (15th best in the league) having won five times, but three of those victories came in their first five away games, leaving them with just two wins from their last thirteen.

The Robins have struggled defensively away from Ashton Gate, only managing three clean sheets in all competitions (all three coming against sides 16th or lower). With their poor defensive record, they are almost certainly going to have to score, possibly multiple times, to get anything from this match. With West Brom being so strong at the back, that is going to be a big ask.

 

 

Barnsley vs Cheltenham Town

If Barnsley had been more consistent at home this season, they would probably be in the title race right now. That is not to say that they are not having a good season though, and a play-off spot looks almost guaranteed, nor are they out of contention for automatic promotion.

Despite their inconsistent home returns, they have been in excellent form, losing just two of their last 21 league matches. They have only failed to find the back of the net on two occasions all season.

Their opponents, Cheltenham Town, have not won any of their last five league games, and they have the second worst away record in the division, with all three of their victories having come against teams in the bottom five of the table. They have also only kept three clean sheets on their travels, so it is hard to see them keeping Barnsley’s attack out.

Both sides’ poor defensive records could make this game a bit of a shoot-out, and Barnsley’s superior quality should see them through. They are also helped by the recent head-to-head between these teams, winning the last four matches.

 

Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers

This one is a huge clash between two sides battling for promotion, with both prolific going forward albeit with defensive issues in recent weeks.

The home side, Derby County, have scored in each of their last fourteen home matches and only failed to score once at Pride Park all season. In fact, they have only failed to score four times anywhere this season. They have been good at the back, averaging less than a goal conceded per game, but have kept just two clean sheets in their last eleven home games.

Bolton have a similar record offensively. They have scored in all but five matches this season but have conceded in each of their last eight away games.

These big matches can become quite cagey but with both side’s recent records it is hard to see either side failing to get on the scoresheet.

 

 

Gillingham vs Grimsby Town

Normally in these articles I back games to have goals as your bet will still have potential to land late, whereas backing unders can see your bet lose early. However, this fixture looks too good to ignore.

Nearly 70 percent of Gillingham’s games this season have seen under 2.5 goals, including each of the last seven. Since Stephen Clemence was appointed manager, that number has increased to 73%. In his eleven home games so far, over 2.5 goals has come in just twice.

For Grimsby, 50 percent of their games have seen under 2.5 goals, including each of the last five, with that percentage increasing to 58 away from home. However, since David Artell was appointed, over 2.5 goals has only happened once in eight away games.

Both teams have made sure they have been hard to beat in recent weeks, with Gillingham drawing five of their last six home games and Grimsby drawing seven of their last nine away games, including each of the last four.

 

Salford City vs Morecambe

Unlike the other League Two game posted up, this game screams goals. Salford have only failed to score once in their last 13 matches, scoring 23 goals. They have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 11 games, conceding 23 goals in that period.

It is not just recent Salford games that have seen lots of goals - 79 percent of their home matches have seen both teams to score, with half seeing both teams score before half time. In Karl Robinson’s 13 matches in charge, his side have only failed to score once and only kept a clean sheet once.

Morecambe’s away games have seen the highest average number of goals in the division, 3.95 goals per game. Since Ged Brannan’s appointment in November, that average has increased to 4.3 goals per game. Both teams have scored in 70 percent of his matches in charge.

 

 

Weekend acca summary:

Back all three selections as singles and/or bundle them together into treble at combined odds of more than 13/1 on Planet Sport Bet (prices subject to change).

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