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EFL Saturday acca tips: West Brom, Oxford and Harrogate to pick up points, plus more…

As we approach the business end of the EFL season, there's a plethora of betting opportunities to be grabbed and hopefully profited from in this week’s suggested accumulator.

Football pundit Rhys Tovey, who runs his AGF service on Tipstrr, has taken a close  looks at Saturday’s games to share his best bets in a tasty fivefold acca at combined odds of more than 28/1.

Weekend acca summary:

Stoke vs West Brom   West Brom Draw No Bet (20/21)

Burton vs Oxford   Oxford to win (Evens)

Portsmouth vs Shrewsbury  Both Teams To Score (21/20)

Notts County vs Harrogate  Harrogate to win or draw (20/21)

Sutton vs Stockport  Both Teams To Score (10/11)

(all odds correct at time of article publication)

Planet Sport Bet Acca Bonus: Place £5+ on a correct acca and get up to 50% bonus to your winnings (minimum 5-fold)

Stoke City vs West Bromwich Albion

West Brom have been incredibly hard to beat in recent weeks, with their only defeat in their last 12 games coming at home against fourth-placed Southampton, since when they are unbeaten in eight.

The Baggies make the relatively short trip north on Saturday to take on Stoke City, whose last few games have followed a familiar pattern, in which a very impressive away result has been followed by a disappointing home result. Wins at Preston and Hull were followed by a 3-0 home defeat to Norwich and a 1-1 draw with bottom three Huddersfield respectively.

Stoke’s poor home record stretches back further, having only won twice in 14 matches at the bet365 Stadium. Those victories came against Middlesbrough, who had only won once in seven matches, and QPR, who had lost six of 10 away games prior to facing Stoke.

With Stoke on a poor run at home and West Brom on an unbeaten run, I would have expected the away side to be favourites for this one. I am backing West Brom, with the added insurance that you will get your money back if it finishes all square.

Burton Albion vs Oxford Utd

Burton Albion currently sit just one place and one point above the relegation zone, having not won in nine league games, picking up just two points. They have lost six home games in a row, with two of those defeats coming against sides currently in the relegation zone.

You can see why the Brewers are so low in the table when you look at their record against the division’s better teams. At home to sides in the top eight, Burton have picked up just one point from a possible 21, drawing once and losing six times. In total, they have picked up just four points from a possible 42 against these teams. Their opponents on Saturday, Oxford United, are one of these sides, currently sitting in seventh, just outside the play-offs on goal difference.

Oxford themselves are not in the best form away from home, having won just one of their last seven, but they have picked up seven points from their last three league games and won the reverse fixture 3-0, so I am backing them to have too much quality for Burton.

Portsmouth vs Shrewsbury Town

This one is a risky selection but one that I believe offers value. Whenever the odds are above evens for both teams to score, it is always worth considering, and there are some compelling reasons to back it in this fixture.

Portsmouth are on fire, having not lost in 14 league games, and looking likely to win the league after scoring  in all but three league games at Fratton Park and only failing to score eight times in total. They have, however, conceded in each of their last nine home games, with BTTS landing in eight of those matches.

Their opponents this weekend, Shrewsbury Town, have been far better on their travels under manager Paul Hurst than they have been at home. Of the 16 points earned during his 13 games in charge, 11 have come on the road. The Shrews have won three, drawn twice and lost just once away from home and averaged 1.33 goals scored per game, compared to just 0.57 at home.

With Shrewsbury having a far better record away than at home under their current manager, and Portsmouth struggling to keep clean sheets at home, this one is worth a play.

Notts County vs Harrogate Town

We backed Harrogate to get a result away from home in the last article and they duly delivered at odds of 13/10, and with that result, the reasoning for backing them has only been made stronger. It is still just five defeats away from home, but as mentioned last time, three of those defeats came in their first four away matches, meaning they have lost just twice in 17 away games.

Unlike last week, when Harrogate’s opponents AFC Wimbledon were in decent form, their opponents this weekend, Notts County, are in poor shape.

When Notts County manager Luke Williams left to take the Swansea job in January, they were still in contention for the promotion places. Since his departure, Notts County have picked up just eight points from the last 39 on offer and have plummeted down to 16th in the table. Their injury-time equaliser last time out against MK Dons was their first point at home since Williams left, having lost the previous five.

Harrogate Town have been phenomenal value away from home this season, and with odds of around evens for them to get at least a point off a team completely out of form, they appear to be excellent value once again.

Sutton Utd vs Stockport County

Since Steve Morison took charge of Sutton United, BTTS has landed in all eight of Sutton’s home matches. They have averaged 1.63 goals per game at the VBS Community Stadium but have also only kept one clean sheet in Morison’s seventeen matches as manager.

Their opponents on Saturday are high-flying Stockport County, who currently sit top of the table and have their sights firmly set on promotion.

Stockport have shown title-winning form recently, winning each of the last three and keeping clean sheets in all of them. Over the course of the entire season however, their defensive numbers have not been as impressive away from home. They have only kept four clean sheets on their travels this season, with BTTS landing in 74% of their away games.

Weekend acca summary:

Back all five selections as singles and/or bundle them together into fivefold acca at combined odds of more than 28/1 on Planet Sport Bet (prices subject to change).

Rhys Tovey provides football tips as AGF on Tipstrr

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