Championship acca: Expected goals says big win for Brum, away day joy for Black Cats
- George Dempsey
- 1 December 2023
Wayne Rooney's Birmingham City can make it back-to-back home wins in this weekend's Championship acca.
With the FA Cup occupying teams from Leagues One and Two, the Championship takes centre stage for this week’s EFL
acca which is currently priced at 25/1 at the time of writing.
Place a £5+ all-correct accumulator (min. 5 selections) and get up to a 50% BONUS on your winnings.
EFL acca
Ipswich vs Coventry: Over 2.5 goals
Plymouth vs Stoke: Over 2.5 goals
Birmingham vs Rotherham
Birmingham are the butt of a few jokes at the moment but they’ve beaten Leeds, West Brom and held Ipswich at St Andrew’s.
The Millers have lost eight of nine on their travels, failed to score in five and our projections make 2-0 Brum the most likely score.
Millwall vs Sunderland
Sunderland are a young team so it’s no surprise you never know which version you’re going to get, but based on chance creation, they should be able to get goals against Millwall.
The Lion's roar is more of a whimper at The New Den these days. Seven defeats in 10 home games is equal to the amount of losses they incurred all of last season.
Ipswich vs Coventry
Backing goals at Portman Road is usually an easy decision but it turns out there’s actually value in the price this weekend.
Despite their poor form, only four sides are creating better quality chances than City on their travels.
Meanwhile, Ipswich’s previous 10 home games have averaged 5.1 goals.
Plymouth vs Stoke City
Don’t be deterred by the fact Stoke have failed to score in over half of their away games. They’re creating chances but they seem to prefer to score in bunches.
Argyle have shipped two or more on five occasions at home. On the other hand, they regularly score two or more and games at Home Park have averaged 3.88 goals.
Hull vs Watford
The price on Hull to beat Watford seems far to overestimate the away side.
The Hornets have won just one of 16 on their travels and only Rotherham created fewer chances.
Valerian Ismael’s side have avoided defeat in seven of eight but that doesn’t change the underlying numbers so they’ll need to keep that form up to earn some trust from bettors.
