Wolves v Liverpool: Reds can keep impressive away form going

Liverpool’s home form has been disastrous but on the road they remain strong and the Reds can take victory at Wolves on Monday night.

When: Monday, March 15, 20:00 GMT

How to watch: Sky Sports Premier League

Best bets

Liverpool to win 2-1 at 17/2 (bet365)

Liverpool to win 2-0 at 15/2 (bet365)

Diogo Jota to score anytime at 37/20 (Unibet)

Ozan Kabak to be shown a card at 10/3 (William Hill)

Nat Phillips to be shown a card at 9/2 (bet365)

Follow the Wolves vs Liverpool game in our score centre

Wolves looking for consistency at Molineux

We've come to view Wolves as a better-than-average top-flight outfit during their still relatively new status as a Premier League team.

Finishing seventh for the last two seasons confirms their almost best-of-the-rest standing and perhaps they could have placed even higher but for European commitments.

But this term, there does seem something middleish about the men from the West Midlands.

Overall, they've won nine, drawn eight and lost 11 of their 28 Premier League games. At home it's slightly better: P13, W5, D4, L4 with a for and against goals tally of 15-14.

No new worries for Nuno Espirito Santo ahead of Wolves’ clash with Liverpool
No new worries for Nuno Espirito Santo ahead of Wolves’ clash with Liverpool

Of course, a huge part in their drop-off has been the absence of striker Raul Jimenez after his sickening clash of heads with David Luiz.

He's been out since November with a fractured skull and won't be back for a while yet.

Without him, Wolves are still a nice team but one that lacks cutting edge. The goal count has been hit and they've managed just 28 goals in their 28 games.

They come into this one on the back of no wins in three although those two defeats and a draw were all away from home.

At Molineux they've been hugely inconsistent. In the last five, they've beaten Leeds and Arsenal, lost to Southampton and West Brom and drawn with Leicester.

Last three Premier League meetings:

Liverpool 4-0 Wolves (December 6, 2020)

Ah, the days when Liverpool winning home was a virtual guarantee. Amazingly, this win made it 31 wins and a draw in their last 32 Anfield outings.

They'd scored 93 goals in that run and conceded just 25. Mo Salah took advantage of Conor Coady's poor control to give the Reds a half-time lead. And after the break a super strike from Gini Wijnaldum, a Joel Matip header and a Semedo own goal completed the rout.

Notably, this was the first time in nine months that fans were allowed back in. There were only 2,000 but Klopp said the atmosphere gave him "goosebumps". How they could do with the Anfield roar right now.

Wolves 1-2 Liverpool (January 23, 2020)

A 2-1 away win was a popular scoreline for Liverpool in their title season. And, like others, this was achieved with a late winner, a result that sent them a massive 16 points clear at the top.

Jordan Henderson scored a rare headed goal to give the visitors an early lead but Wolves, causing Liverpool plenty of problems, scored a deserved equaliser as Jimenez headed home Adama Traore's cross.

Wolves pushed for a winner but the Merseysiders could do no wrong at the time and secured a 22nd league triumph in 23 games as Roberto Firmino slotted home the decisive goal six minutes from time.

Liverpool 1-0 Wolves (December 29, 2019)

Wolves have consistently been a tough nut to crack for Liverpool even though the Reds usually find a way. And Nuno Espirito Santo's men gave the hosts plenty to think about in this one.

In the end, the outcome was decided by Sadio Mane's 42nd-minute strike although only following a VAR check for handball after Adam Lallana had controlled the ball with his shoulder in the box.

VAR also did its thing to deny Wolves an equaliser, ruling out a Pedro Neto strike soon after as Jonny was deemed marginally offside in the build-up.

Diogo Jota - playing in gold rather than red - was Man of the Match. Perhaps it was this display which helped persuade Klopp to bring him to Anfield.

Head-to-head in the Premier League - last 10

Liverpool wins: 8

Draws: 1

Wolves wins: 1

Liverpool scored: 19

Wolves scored: 3

Anfield form has crashed but Liverpool enjoying life on the road

Liverpool's collapse in form at Anfield is impossible to fathom. How can you go from 68 Premier League games undefeated to lose six in a row against quite frankly a mixed bunch of rivals?

However, if the assessment of this Liverpool team was purely on their form away from Merseyside, you'd say they were doing extremely well.

Technically, the 2-0 second leg win over RB Leipzig was a 'home' game. But more realistically it should be viewed as another away trip given that it was played in Budapest.

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And if we add that into the actual list of road games then Liverpool have won five of their last six matches away from Anfield: that's a pair of 2-0 wins over Leipzig, 3-1 victories over London duo Spurs and West Ham and a 2-0 success over Sheffield United.

The one blot was a 3-1 defeat at Leicester when Liverpool deservedly led with 12 minutes to go.

Overall, their record outside Liverpool is excellent. All five wins have been achieved with a two-goal winning margin and there's a freedom and sense of bounce in their play that just isn't there at Anfield right now.

Tactically, they get more space to perform and the restoration of Fabinho to midfield had a big effect on the team in the second leg against Leipzig.

Fabinho is back in his natural position
Fabinho is back in his natural position

It's taken a while but Klopp has finally decided that round pegs in round holes is the best way to go: even if those round pegs in central defence - Ozan Kabak and Nat Phillips - are made from wood rather than solid gold.

Of course, the absence of Virgil van Dijk has hurt Liverpool badly but they're not shipping goals. In fact, only the Premier League's top two - Man City and Man Utd - have scored more than a single goal against Liverpool in the Reds' last 25 games.

Liverpool's last five Premier League results:

Leicester 3-1 Liverpool (Salah)

Liverpool 0-2 Everton

Sheffield United 0-2 Liverpool (Jones, o.g.)

Liverpool 0-1 Chelsea

Liverpool 0-1 Fulham

Scoreline prediction: Wolves 1-2 Liverpool

Liverpool's decent defensive record and Wolves' struggle for goals suggests it's hard to see the hosts scoring more than one.

But even if they manage that, Liverpool may still have enough to get their creaking Premier League campaign back on track.

Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp has cut a much happier figure on the road
Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp has cut a much happier figure on the road

There's no value in backing a basic Liverpool win at just 8/11 even though that's preferred over Wolves at 4/1 and The Draw at 13/5.

But a couple of pro-Liverpool scorelines appeal at decent odds:

So I'll back 2-1 at 17/2 and 2-0 at 15/2 - both with bet365.

Goalscorer bets and other best punts

Diogo Jota comes up against his former club and after getting some minutes under his belt in the last couple of games, rust will now be giving way to freshness.

Already he looks to have added some zest to Liverpool's attack and I'll take him at 37/20 with Unibet to take his tally of Reds goals into double figures for the season.

Fabinho's return to the holding midfielder role as freed up Thiago to do more damage in the opposing half and that could lead to a goal or an assist at decent prices.

But the bookings market is the other place to visit.

Ozan Kabak challenges Sheffield United's Oli McBurnie
Ozan Kabak challenges Sheffield United's Oli McBurnie

Wolves have plenty of technical ability and raw pace in Traore. At some point, Kabak and Phillips could be exposed and I'm going to back both to pick up yellow cards.

Kabak was booked in each of his first three Liverpool outings and has 11 and a red in total when adding in his games for Schalke this season.

Phillips has seen yellow in two of his last four away games and isn't the quickest.

Kabak is 10/3 with William Hill while Phillips is 9/2 at bet365.

To boost confidence, Craig Pawson is the man in charge and the South Yorkshire official flashed five yellows and two reds the last time he reffed at Molineux.

READ MORE: A detailed look at Mo Salah's record against Wolves