Betting preview: Norwich vs Leeds - Early relegation six-pointer could struggle for goals

It's a Premier League clash that neither team can probably afford to lose, but can one of them win it?

Norwich being very much involved in the relegation scrap this season will have come as no real surprise to anyone, although few expected Leeds to down there too.

Leeds head into the weekend just five points ahead of Norwich and in desperate need of a confidence-boosting win.

In fact, these two clubs have just one win between them this season. It's increasingly hard to see Norwich surviving if they don't get something from it, while Leeds' need for points is becoming ever more desperate, so it's not too early to call this one a relegation six-pointer.

That could well make it a pretty scary Halloween afternoon for fans of both clubs.

When, where and how to watch

When: Sunday, October 31, 2pm BST

Where: Carrow Road

How to watch: Sky Sports

Best bets for Norwich vs Leeds 

Under 1.5 goals at 3/1

Leeds to win 1-0 at 15/2

Leeds to win and under 2.5 goals at 4/1

These two teams have conceded 49 goals between them this season, so it's tempting to back goals. However, they have scored just 10 in reply, with all but two of those coming from Leeds.

There feels like a lot at stake and neither attack will likely be bursting with confidence, so a single goal could well win it.

If that is indeed to play out, then you'd back Leeds to get that goal. Despite their struggles, the majority of the quality on display will be for the visitors.

If you want a little room for error, take Leeds to win and under 2.5 goals.

Last time out

Chelsea 7-0 Norwich (October 23, 2021)

Ouch. Before Norwich's trip to Stamford Bridge, it always looked like a true tonking could be on the cards and that's exactly how it turned out.

It's easy to say it was just Chelsea doing Chelsea things and write it off, but whenever a vidiprinter needs to spell out a scoreline, you know things pretty much couldn't have gone any worse.

Imagine what it could have been had Chelsea had their strikers fit.

Premier League form (most recent first): LDDLL

Leeds 1-1 Wolves (October 23, 2021)

Without doubt, Leeds will have been targeting a home clash with Wolves as a key fixture to get back to winning ways, but in the end they were grateful not to lose it.

Hwang Hee-Chan handed Wolves an early lead, and it looked for all the world like it would be enough to secure all three points for the Midlanders.

However, a penalty from Rodrigo deep into stoppage time sneaked a point for the hosts.

Premier League form (most recent first): DLWLD

Premier League head-to-head

Norwich wins: 4

Draws: 1

Leeds wins: 1

Norwich goals: 13

Leeds goals: 6

Norwich in perpetual purgatory

Norwich City's Ozan Kabak during the Premier League match at Carrow Road, Norwich.

We have seen this before with Norwich, haven't we? They go down, they come up, they go down again. It feels like they've been doing it for years - always too good for the Championship, never good enough for the Premier League.

Knowing what the problem is and being able to fix it are two entirely different things, though, and boss Daniel Farke looks no nearer finding a solution this time around.

You could argue that Norwich's seemingly endless yo-yoing between divisions says more about the modern game and the financial gap between the divisions than it does them as a club.

That said, other clubs seem to manage ok, don't they?

Second-season syndrome hitting Leeds hard

Leeds United's Raphinha celebrates scoring the opening goal during the Premier League match at Elland Road, Leeds

Leeds enjoyed a brilliant return to the Premier League last season, and fans were understandably hoping for at least more of the same this time around.

However, they aren't the first team to find it hard to maintain the level they produced as a newly promoted side. In fact, it's so common it has its own name: second-season syndrome.

When you are promoted and playing with confidence and enthusiasm, wins are naturally going to come easier. As coaches use the transfer market to increase the quality, the confidence is starting to fade, the pressure increasing, and results can start to slide.

Truth is, survival of any kind will be a good season for Leeds and will provide the bedrock for longevity at this level, so that makes this one an absolutely key game.

Goalscorer bets for Norwich vs Leeds 

Norwich City's Teemu Pukki looks dejected after the Premier League match at The Emirates Stadium, London

If you're thinking that Teemu Pukki is the only player who ever seems to score for Norwich, then you'd be right.

Norwich have only scored two Premier League goals this season and the Finn has them both. He is 17/4 to score the first goal here, but Josh Sargent is better value at 13/2 to open the scoring. Never prolific in the Bundesliga, Sargent still averaged a goal every six games. He has failed to score in eight for Norwich this term so is due one (though you do worry he'll never get a better chance than that open goal against Brighton!).

Leeds have goalscoring problems of their own and an injury to Patrick Bamford isn't helping.

That is giving Rodrigo a chance but he is still to convince he is a £30million player. However, the 7/1 on Jack Harrison to open the scoring with that wand of a left foot of his is always attractive value.

Harrison has failed to score in the Premier League this season but ended the last campaign with eight goals to his name.

READ MORE: Marcelo Bielsa, Dean Smith and six other Premier League managers under pressure to deliver results

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