Liverpool vs Chelsea: Defences could dominate in Anfield showdown
There is plenty of attacking talent on show but a low-scoring draw may be the best way to cash in when two of the title favourites clash on Saturday.
When: Saturday, August 28, 5.30pm BST
Where: Anfield
How to watch: Sky Sports
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They've both opened with a pair of wins, scoring five goals and conceding none in the process.
To be honest, no one expected anything different given the easy matches they were given.
Liverpool rolled over Norwich 3-0 at Carrow Road before seeing off Burnley 2-0 at Anfield.
Chelsea, meanwhile, cruised past Crystal Palace 3-0 at Stamford Bridge before winning 2-0 at an Arsenal side with huge doubts hanging over them.
The outright betting shows Chelsea as the 5/2 second favourites to win the title, with Liverpool 4/1. Manchester City head that market at 6/5 while Manchester United are 15/2 in what is widely regarded as a four-horse race.
Perhaps the main reason Chelsea are edging Liverpool in the market is due to them signing Romelu Lukaku for huge money.
Last three matches
Liverpool 0-1 Chelsea (Premier League - March 04, 2021)
Timo Werner had a goal chalked off for offside before Mason Mount curled what proved an excellent winner three minutes before the break.
With their confidence and energy low, Liverpool managed just a single shot on target.
Chelsea 0-2 Liverpool (Premier League - September 20, 2020)
The game turned firmly their way on the stroke of half-time when Anders Christiansen was red carded for hauling down Sadio Mane.
Mane then headed home Roberto Firmino's cross five minutes after the break before charging down Kepa's clearance and helping himself to a second soon after.
Chelsea had a glimmer of hope when Werner was tripped by Thiago Alcantara to give the hosts a penalty but Alisson kept out Jorginho's spot-kick.
Liverpool 5-3 Chelsea (Premier League - July 22, 2020)
It was party night at Anfield and, although fans were absent, an impressive display of pyrotechnics lit the sky up as Liverpool legend Kenny Dalglish awarded the Premier League trophy to skipper Jordan Henderson.
Before that much-awaited moment, Liverpool celebrated their first title for 30 years with a superb display of attacking soccer although Chelsea played their part too.
The Reds roared into a 3-0 lead via Naby Keita's thunderbolt, a Trent Alexander-Arnold free-kick and a powerful hit from Gini Wijnaldum.
Chelsea rallied again with Christian Pulisic setting one up for Tammy Abraham before scoring himself to reduce the deficit to 4-3 but Liverpool put the game to bed late on as Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain blasted in Andy Robertson's cross.
Last 10 head-to-heads
Liverpool wins: 4
Draws: 2
Chelsea wins: 4
Liverpool goals: 15
Chelsea goals: 13
Can either side make a statement?
And with both enjoying strong starts to the new campaign, it's hard to pick a winner.
He'll find Virgil van Dijk a rather more tricky opponent than Arsenal's Pablo Mari while Thomas Tuchel has racked up the clean sheets since taking over at Chelsea. In other words, defences will be hard to breach.
Low-scoring draw looks the best bet
But 1-1 has to be on the cards too so the best way to incorporate both outcomes is to back Draw and Under 2.5 Goals at 3/1.
While a win for either makes a big statement, both would see the draw as an acceptable second prize. That increases the likelihood of a cagey contest with few goals.
Goalscorer bets
However, I'll skip the obvious names and have a punt on Trent Alexander-Arnold being the first Liverpool scorer at 14/1.
Get short of cards
There were just two bookings in Norwich vs Liverpool (James Milner), while the referee didn't reach for his pocket once in the Merseysiders' home win against Burnley.
On Chelsea's last four visits to Anfield, the bookings count read: 0, 1, 1, 0.
True, there's plenty at stake but I'll happily back Under 3.5 cards at 4/6.