England vs Poland: England look to keep up unbeaten home record against Poland in tricky qualifier

Wembley plays host to a potentially exciting meeting between the two group favourites on Wednesday night.

When: Wednesday, March 31, 2021

How to watch: ITV

Best bets

England to win 3-1 at 21/2 (Unibet)

Harry Kane to score at 8/11 (Sky Bet)

Over 3.5 goals at 2/1 (Unibet)

How is the group shaping up?

Gareth Southgate is ‘pushing for a bit more’ from England
Gareth Southgate is ‘pushing for a bit more’ from England

England meet Poland in both teams' third game in quick succession in midweek. All six teams in Group I have played twice and Wednesday's encounter sees the current top two meet.

Paulo Sousa's side pulled back a two-goal deficit to draw 3-3 in Hungary in their opening fixture, earning an important point. A comfortable 3-0 victory against Andorra puts them on four points so far.

Robert Lewandowski has bagged three goals in those two games, but he will not be able to feature against England having picked up a knee injury in the matchday two fixture.

Hungary and Albania are showing that they have the potential to take points from the top two seeds in the group. Hungary followed the draw against Poland with a dominant display against a determined San Marino outfit, eventually running out 3-0 victors.

Fourth place in Group I currently belongs to Albania after a 1-0 success against Andorra, followed by the defeat by England.

Both Andorra and San Marino are currently pointless and their only realistic hope of picking up any points is when they face each other.

The final fixtures in Group I before the end of the international break see Andorra host Hungary and Albania travel to San Marino.

Last three meetings:

England 2-0 Poland (October 15, 2013)

The Three Lions secured top spot and qualification for the 2014 FIFA World Cup after prevailing 2-0 in a tough game with Poland.

Around 20,000 Poland fans were in Wembley to witness their team put in a gutsy display and nearly saw their team take the lead through Waldemar Sobotka and then Robert Lewandowski, who also missed a golden chance.

Andros Townsend rattled the bar of Wojciech Szczesny's goal with a thunderous effort from outside the box before England eventually broke the deadlock shortly before half-time. Wayne Rooney converted Leighton Baines' pinpoint cross with a header to make it 1-0.

Both teams had a number of chances in the second half, however Poland could not find a way back into the game. Daniel Sturridge stung the palms of Szczesny before a typically powerful run and finish from Steven Gerrard, on his 107th England appearance, made sure of the win in an incredible match.

Poland 1-1 England (October 17, 2012)

This game in Warsaw was postponed for a day after heavy rain caused the fixture to be moved. With the roof in place the next day, the fixture took place less than 24 hours after its original date.

Roy Hodgson's men ended 2012 on top of their qualifying group after a deserved draw against Poland.

Wayne Rooney's header from a corner after 30 minutes silenced an otherwise vocal home crowd giving the Three Lions a vital lead.

Poland threatened in the second half, Ludovic Obranak went close and forced Joe Hart to tip his shot over the goal. Right-back Lukasz Piszczek then fired just wide with nearly an hour gone.

Hodgson's men had chances to seal the game with a penalty appeal waved away before Wayne Rooney swept a shot over the bar following a fast-flowing counter attack.

Minutes later, Joe Hart's decision to come out for a corner backfired when centre-back Kamil Glik rose highest and headed into an empty net, with the game finishing 1-1.

England 2-1 Poland (October 12, 2005)

England once again grabbed World Cup qualification following a victory over Poland. Goals from Michael Owen and Frank Lampard fired England to an impressive win.

Minutes before half-time at Old Trafford, Owen poached a goal after flicking in a wayward shot from an England team-mate. However, England could not hold on until the interval as Poland caught the home team on the break and Tomasz Frankowski netting a volley.

England had to wait until 10 minutes from time for the winning goal. Frank Lampard made a run into the box and acrobatically finished a counter attack from a Michael Owen cross.

Head-to-head:

Played: 19

England won: 11

Drawn: 7

Poland won: 1

England scored: 30

Poland scored: 11

EURO 2020 - less than three months away

There is no doubt that England's players will want to impress Gareth Southgate in their last competitive fixture before the start of the rearranged Euros in June. Aside from two friendlies against Austria and Romania, Poland provide England with their last meaningful assignment before the tournament.

Looking ahead to the summer, England's group features rivals Scotland and Croatia as well as Czech Republic in the newly structured tournament. According to the betting, both England (1/50) and Croatia (1/5) are heavy favourites to progress past the group stage.

Looking further into the tournament, England are currently one of the favourites to lift the EURO 2020 trophy and are priced at 5/1 with the majority of UK bookmakers.

Another positive from an England point of view is that Harry Kane is heading the top goalscorer market for the Euros and he is available at 6/1 at BetVictor.

England to win EURO 2020 and Harry Kane to be top goalscorer is available at 16/1 with Paddy Power.

Score prediction: England 3-1 Poland

With the Euros in mind, many fans will be expecting England to put on a show against a competitive Poland team. England are unbeaten at home against their opponents and are 1/3 (Sky Bet) to taste victory at Wembley.

Without world-class marksman Lewandowski, Poland lack a goal scorer and a leader and may struggle against an England team who expect to dominate possession.

The Poles, who are ranked 19th in the world, will pose the biggest threat to top spot in the group but it is yet to be seen if they are up to the challenge. England's last two games will have been used as preparation for this important clash and Southgate has had plenty of time to consider how he will approach this fixture.

Harry Kane looked sharp on Sunday and could have easily had two or three goals against Albania and Raheem Sterling was constantly looking to go past players and create whenever he got on the ball. The Three Lions' pace and power should see them carve out chances against a Poland team that is much more likely to play on the front foot compared to what England have faced in the past week.

Although England are taken to win fairly comfortably, at times their defence looked as though it was vulnerable to a defensive error and it would be no surprise if England conceded their first goal of qualifying on Wednesday night.

England to win 3-1 is 21/2 with Unibet.

Goalscorer bets

Harry Kane is the seemingly safe bet to score a goal for England. He opened the scoring in Albania and another goal is just around the corner for the Spurs striker.

Sky Bet have Kane at 8/11 to get a goal.

Poland tend to play with two strikers, and yet still could even without their key player and Hertha forward Krzysztof Piatek has a good international record so far, scoring eight times in 17 caps.

The tall striker will give the England centre-backs something to think about and he is 15/4 to score with bet365.

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