Burnley vs Arsenal: Arteta’s men tipped to get victory against unpredictable Burnley

Burnley have only won one of 13 meetings in the Premier League against Arsenal and it seems like another uphill task on Saturday lunchtime.

When: Saturday, March 6, 12:30 GMT

How to watch: BT Sport

Follow the game on our score centre HERE

Best Bets

Arsenal to win 2-0 at 7/1 (bet365 and BetVictor)

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to score first at 7/2 (Paddy Power)

Martin Odegaard to score anytime at 11/2 (Betfred)

Can Burnley avoid the drop, again?

Burnley celebrate their winner against Arsenal in the reverse fixture
Burnley celebrate their winner against Arsenal in the reverse fixture

Sean Dyche has a knack for keeping his hard-working Burnley side in the Premier League year on year.

Burnley have ended the season in 15th place in two of the past three campaigns, and that is where the Lancashire club find themselves this time around with 11 games left to play.

A battling display to secure a draw against an out-of-sorts Leicester outfit on Wednesday was a positive result for the Clarets and helped them pull six points clear of the relegation zone.

With an experienced squad and the know-how of Sean Dyche and his coaching staff, it is hard to imagine Burnley ending the season in the drop zone.

Last three Premier League meetings:

Arsenal 0-1 Burnley (December 13, 2020)

Sean Dyche's team secured just their second league victory of the season to move them out of the bottom three against fellow strugglers Arsenal.

Burnley goalkeeper Nick Pope was on form, keeping out efforts from Alexandre Lacazette, Kieran Tierney and Bukayo Saka before Granit Xhaka's lack of discipline led to him being sent off.

With less than 20 minutes left to play, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang flicked a header past his Arsenal team-mate Bernd Leno, for the first own goal of his career.

Burnley 0-0 Arsenal (February 2, 2020)

In a game with only four shots on target for both teams, Burnley were made to rue missed chances. The draw extended Arsenal's unbeaten run in 2020 to seven games.

Headed efforts were the main source of chances, but neither side could make the most of them.

The teams were evenly matched throughout and the two sides' defences stood firm at Turf Moor, resulting in a stalemate.

Arsenal 2-1 Burnley (August 17, 2019)

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang netted his seventh goal in four games against Burnley, as Arsenal won back-to-back games at the start of the 2019/20 season.

The Gunners went into the lead when Alexandre Lacazette managed to get a shot off in a crowded penalty area, with the pace on the ball beating Nick Pope at his front post.

Before half-time Burnley were level, as Ashley Barnes pounced on a deflected shot from winger Dwight McNeil.

Man-of-the-match Dani Ceballos, who created multiple opportunities, got a deserved assist when he played in Aubameyang to score. The Gabon international ran at a retreating Burnley backline and punished them with a low shot from 20 yards out.

Head-to-head in the Premier League

Played: 13

Arsenal wins: 10

Draws: 2

Burnley wins: 1

Arsenal goals: 25

Burnley goals: 7

READ MORE: Will a nightmare week for Barcelona influence their clash with Osasuna on Saturday?

Will Europe affect Arsenal's league campaign?

The Gunners managed to qualify for the Europa League last 16 after defeating Benfica 4-3 on aggregate. Mikel Arteta's outfit now face a tough assignment with Greek giants Olympiacos in the next round, in what is the start of a busy period of games for the London club.

Arsenal fans will be desperate for a trophy and their only real hope this season lies in the Europa League. As a team who have disappointed in Europe in recent seasons, the pressure is on and Arteta will have to rely on his whole squad to play a part over the coming weeks.

In the league, Arsenal are due to play Burnley on Saturday, followed by the North London derby with Tottenham and another derby with surprise package, West Ham, before the international break.

After nearly a week without a game, Arsenal will want to start their run of fixtures with a positive result against an unpredictable Burnley side. Only 10th in the league, Arsenal are underachieving and need some big results to lift them towards the European places.

Arteta's men are 5/1 to finish in the Top 6 with BetVictor and a win against Burnley would be another step towards that goal.

Draw specialists

Burnley have picked up a reputation for being draw specialists, taking one point from each of their last four games at Turf Moor.

Burnley's last four home games:

Burnley 1-1 Brighton (Gudmundsson)

Burnley 1-1 Fulham (Barnes)

Burnley 0-0 West Brom

Burnley 1-1 Leicester (Vydra)

Three of these four games have come against teams around them in the Premier League table, with the exception of Leicester, who are on a bad run themselves. Another draw this week, against Arsenal, would be a positive result for a team aiming to stay clear of the drop zone.

These results show Burnley's stubbornness in defence but also their lack of attacking threat. Their standout performer has been powerful centre-back James Tarkowski, who leads the way in tackles and clearances for his side this season.

Arsenal should give Burnley's defence a much sterner test than they have faced in recent weeks at Turf Moor, especially as Arteta's side smashed three goals past Leicester in their last match.

Arsenal seem to have found their attacking threat recently and Nick Pope will likely be a busy man in the Burnley net.

Scoreline prediction: Burnley 0-2 Arsenal

The home team come into this game in their best ever form against Arsenal, with a win and a draw to show in the past three meetings, but have only beaten the Gunners once in the Premier League era.

That trend is expected to continue, with Arsenal strong favourites to win and are priced at 3/5 with Sky Bet and bet365.

Burnley lack a cutting edge and ruthlessness up front, and top scorer Chris Wood has only just returned from an injury layoff. For this reason, I would expect Arsenal to keep Burnley's strikeforce quiet and to come away with a clean sheet.

Arsenal go into the game on the back of some encouraging performances, and although they lost 1-0 against Manchester City, they played credibly. City had limited chances after they took the lead early on, which again shows promise for an improving defence.

The Gunners will have plenty of options at their disposal and should be far too strong against a team they usually enjoy playing against.

Goalscorer bets

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang looks like Arsenal's man for goals against Burnley. They are his favourite team to play and he has seven goals against the Clarets. He is 7/2 (Paddy Power) to open the scoring.

Another interesting angle is with Willian pulling the strings in attacking midfield, it is likely that January signing Martin Odegaard will have license to roam free when Arsenal are in possession. Odegaard is most effective when he can move from his position and pick up positions behind Burnley's rigid 4-4-2 formation.

The Norwegian is 11/2 to score anytime with Betfred.

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