Brentford vs Swansea: Who will win the richest game in soccer?

Brentford and Swansea clash at Wembley this weekend to settle the final Premier League promotion place and potentially bag over £200m in revenue.

When: Saturday, May 29, 15:00 BST

How to watch: Sky Sports Main Event

Follow this game live via our score centre

Best Bets

Brentford to win by a margin of one goal at 11/4 (bet365)

Both teams to score at 23/20 (888Sport)

Ivan Toney to score first at 11/4 (PaddyPower)

Last year, Deloitte calculated that winning the Championship play-off final could generate revenue of between £135 to £265million. Much of that, of course, depends on whether that team can avoid relegation in the following campaign.

Nevertheless, with so much money on the line, it's no surprise that this fixture is often regarded as one of the richest games in soccer.

Brentford are no strangers to this level of pressure having tasted defeat in last season's final. A 2-1 loss at the hands of Fulham consigned the Bees to another year of Championship soccer.

Interestingly, Brentford beat Swansea on the way to Wembley last season at the semi-final stage. Twelve months on, the two teams will collide in the showpiece… and the Swans are craving revenge.

Last three Championship matches

Swansea 1-1 Brentford (January 27, 2021)

Despite dominating proceedings from a statistical perspective, Brentford had to settle for a point after a 1-1 draw at Liberty Stadium.

The game first turned in the 69th minute when Swansea's Kyle Naughton was given a second yellow card. His exit paved the way for a Brentford opener which came courtesy of Tarique Fosu just five minutes after the sending off.

Moments later the drama unfolded even further as Conor Hourihane scored the equaliser with Swansea's only shot on target.

Neither side was able to find the winner as points were shared in south Wales.

Brentford 1-1 Swansea (November 3, 2020)

Swansea had a lot more shots on target this time round, but they were still unable to bag the three points against a stubborn Brentford outfit.

Ivan Toney scored the opener in the 36th minute as his impressive goal scoring run continued.

Swansea pushed for the equaliser and found their breakthrough in the 77th minute thanks to a strike from Andre Ayew.

Points were once again shared - this time at Brentford's brand new Community Stadium.

Brentford 3-1 Swansea (July 29, 2020)

Both sets of supporters will certainly remember this encounter.

Following a 1-0 victory in the first leg of last year's Championship play-off semi-final, hopes were high for Swansea.

However, a 3-1 thumping in the second-leg saw Brentford bag a place at Wembley.

Goals from Ollie Watkins, Emiliano Marcondes and Bryan Mbeumo put the Bees 3-0 up before a late strike from Rhian Brewster set up a tense finish.

Last ten head-to-heads

Brentford wins: 3

Draws: 2

Swansea wins: 5

Brentford goals: 14

Swansea goals: 17

Repeat or revenge?

This weekend is make or break time for Thomas Frank and his Brentford side.

Following play-off drama of 12 months ago, the Dane will be desperate to avoid a tense finish and bag a spot in the Premier League.

Brentford boss, Thomas Frank
Brentford boss, Thomas Frank

However, considering recent play-off finals, a tense finish is exactly what we're going to get.

Brentford come into this game as favourites and their run of five victories from six games sees them enter the weekend with plenty of momentum.

Swansea's underdog status can help

It's no secret that Swansea City are regarded as the underdogs in this tie.

After overcoming a stubborn Barnsley side, Steve Cooper's men have now set their sights on making a triumphant return to the big time.

Swansea City manager, Steve Cooper
Swansea City manager, Steve Cooper

The underdog tag will certainly work in Swansea's favour - especially when considering the amount of pressure and expectations that a play-off final can create.

Nevertheless, the Swans certainly have tools to hurt their rivals on what promises to be a special occasion at Wembley.

Goalscorer bets

The main man to watch is Ivan Toney. The English forward has been on an incredible scoring run this season having bagged 31 league goals.

Ivan Toney has enjoyed an incredible season with the Bees
Ivan Toney has enjoyed an incredible season with the Bees

Interestingly, a third of those goals have been match openers. With that in mind, our recommendation is to back Toney to score first at the price of 11/4 with PaddyPower. 

READ MORE: Manchester City vs Chelsea: A final full of money, dreams and superstars