Betting preview: Atletico Madrid vs Liverpool – Reds may be happy to take a point in Spain

With two wins out of two in the group and a trip to Manchester United on the horizon, a draw would be satisfactory for Jurgen Klopp’s Reds in Madrid.

It's been the perfect start for Liverpool in this season's Champions League.

After dominating against AC Milan, they fought back from two late first-half sucker punches to secure a deserved 3-2 victory.

And, as usual, they made light work of a potentially tricky trip to Portugal by dishing out a 5-1 thrashing to Porto. Two games, six points, eight goals… so far, so good!

When, where and how to watch

When: Tuesday, October 19, 8pm BST

Where: Estadio Metropolitano

Follow this game via our score centre

Best bets

Draw at 23/10

No goal at 17/2

Atletico have also made a solid start in Group B, positioning themselves as the most likely team to go through with Liverpool.

The Spaniards were held to a frustrating 0-0 home draw by Porto but then produced a pivotal late turnaround against Milan in the San Siro.

A goal down with six minutes left, Antoine Griezmann equalised before deep into injury time ex-Anfield hero Luis Suarez kept his nerve from the spot to grab the winner.

However, with back-to-back games against Liverpool to come in surely the toughest group of the lot, they still have a big fight on their hands to make it through to the last 16.

Last three meetings

Liverpool 2-3 Atletico Madrid aet (Champions League - March 11, 2020)

Played against the backdrop of a looming COVID crisis, Liverpool's Champions League title defence was ended on a night of high drama at Anfield.

Trailing 1-0 from the first leg, the Reds levelled the tie after 43 minutes through Gini Wijnaldum and had numerous chances to kill Atleti off before the tie went to extra time.

Robert Firmino put Liverpool 2-0 in front and 2-1 ahead on aggregate before they capitulated.

A Marcos Llorente double changed the atmosphere in the stadium and Alvaro Morata added a third at the end to secure a crazy 3-2 win and send the men from Madrid into the last eight 4-2 on aggregate.

Atletico Madrid 1-0 Liverpool (Champions League - February 18, 2020)

The Estadio Metropolitano holds special memories for Liverpool fans after they beat Spurs in the 2019 Champions League final held there to hoist the European Cup trophy for a sixth time.

But there was to be no happy return in 2020 when Atletico squeezed the life out of the match after taking an early lead.

Saul Niguez's fourth-minute strike proved the difference and the home side's clean sheet would prove significant later in the tie.

Liverpool 2-1 Atletico Madrid aet (Europa League - April 29, 2010)

Ten years earlier, Madrid also left Anfield in celebratory mood after knocking the Merseysiders out of the Europa League on the away goals rule in a dramatic semi-final, second leg.

Again, they had won the first leg 1-0 in Spain but, once more, the Reds had taken the game to extra time via an Alberto Aquilani strike.

Yossi Benayoun put Liverpool 2-1 ahead and in golden position to reach the final but former Manchester United star Diego Forlan netted with 102 minutes on the clock to send Atletico through on away goals. They beat Fulham in the final.

All-time head-to-heads

Liverpool wins: 1

Atletico Madrid wins: 3

Draws: 2

Liverpool goals: 6

Atletico Madrid goals: 8

Expect another tight encounter between group's top two

Add in a pair of 1-1 draws in the 2008/9 Champions League and Atletico have been tough opponents for Liverpool.

And I expect that to be the case again on Tuesday night.

Liverpool are flying this season. They're won eight and drawn three of their 11 matches in all competitions and banged in 33 goals at an average of exactly three per game.

They emerged from the international break with a totally dominant 5-0 win at Watford in Saturday's early-kick off and all looks rosy.

But the contrast between an away trip to a Watford side with yet another brand new boss against a visit to an Atletico Madrid team managed by long-term ironman Diego Simeone couldn't be greater.

Diego Simeone - the Atletico Madrid boss will make life tough for Liverpool.

Atletico are champions of Spain and have made a fine start to the current campaign.

They're three points behind leaders Real Sociedad but have a game in hand and their last outing before the international break was a 2-0 home win over Barcelona.

They've conceded just twice at home in four La Liga games and kept a clean sheet against Porto at the Estadio Metropolitano on Matchday 1.

Liverpool have managed just a single goal in three away games against Atletico so, historically, this has been a difficult fixture.

Of course, they couldn't be in better form this time and how does anyone stop Mo Salah?

And yet, can we be totally sure he plays?

Liverpool have a huge game against Manchester United at Old Trafford coming up and Klopp is in position to rotate his squad a little after taking maximum points from their opening two Group B fixtures.

Could Virgil van Dijk be rested, just as he was against Milan?

What we do know is that Brazilian duo Alisson and Fabinho will surely take part after heading straight to Spain from international duties to navigate quarantine rules.

Alisson Becker will be available again for the visitors.
Alisson Becker will be available again for the visitors.

All in all though, the balance of the group, the uncertainty over team news and the forthcoming fixture with United suggest Liverpool will be more than happy with a point.

Atletico's game last weekend was postponed which will make them fresher but Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 20 games stretching back to last season (14 wins and six draws).

Overall, the draw at 23/10 looks best.

Atletico have already played out a 0-0 home draw against Porto so it's also worth a small bet on No Goal at 17/2.

Best goalscorer bets

I'm not convinced this is the best market to play because not only do I think it will be a draw, I'm expecting a low-scoring one at that.

All Liverpool's front men are in the goals but maybe this is a night for Diogo Jota.

The Portuguese was rested against Watford and there's a strong chance he could come in.

Jota has netted in two of his three Premier League away matches and last season he scored a Champions League away hat-trick against Atalanta.

Liverpool's Diogo Jota has a strong record on the road.
Liverpool's Diogo Jota has a strong record on the road.

Overall last term for club and country, he scored more road goals (11) than he did at home (9).

For Atletico, Luis Suarez has the potential to be a thorn in his former club's side.

Suarez scored the opener for Barcelona in the Catalans' 3-0 home win over the Reds in the 2019 Champions League semis (don't ask him how the second leg went though).

With four in his last four for Atletico and a goal against Brazil in the early hours of Friday morning, the Uruguayan is still scoring freely.

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