How many points will Newcastle United need to stay up in the Premier League this season?
Magic number has always been 40 points but 35 should be enough for Magpies to survive based on the stats since the turn of the century.
To further ramp up the feelings of injustice, in 2004/05, West Brom survived with just 34.
Planet Sport crunches the numbers to see how many points you really need to survive.
Staying up on 36 points
But given 40 is still talked of as the magical number despite West Ham's relegation with 42 points, then there is obviously some leeway to discount seasons which don't fit in with the overall pattern.
Staying up on 35 points
That has to be the minimum aim of the bottom four this term and it will still require a significant improvement in the second half of the campaign to achieve it. Newcastle, for instance, would need 23 points from their next 18 games having taken only 12 from their first 20.
It may not be quite as magical as 40 points but should Newcastle, Norwich, Watford or Burnley achieve 38 points this season, their fans won't see it that way.