Everton vs Burnley: Toffees can maintain Champions League push with a victory

In a tie that could have consequences at both ends of the Premier League table, Everton meet Burnley in what is set to be a cagey affair at Goodison Park

When: Saturday, March 13, 17:30 GMT

Where to watch: Sky Sports

Best bets

Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score, 4+ corners each team and Ashley Westwood to be carded at 20/1 (Sky Bet)

Everton win, Everton most cards and Burnley most cards at 11/2 (Paddy Power)

Everton to lead after 30 minutes at 4/1 (Ladbrokes)

Can the Clarets beat the drop once again?

Burnley currently sit 15th in the table, four points clear of Fulham in 18th, but an erratic run of form as of late has started to unsteady the ship at Turf Moor ever so slightly.

Since their 3-0 away win at Crystal Palace last month, Sean Dyche's men have failed to record a victory in their last five Premier League fixtures, drawing four and losing one.

If we take a closer look however, we see a slightly different perspective - the Clarets have picked up points against relegation rivals West Brom and Fulham, whilst also holding high-flying Leicester and an unpredictable Arsenal side to 1-1 draws, losing only to Jose Mourinho's Tottenham.

The bookmakers are certainly confident in Burnley remaining in the top flight for a fifth consecutive season, with Paddy Power offering 1/19 odds on the Turf Moor outfit to stay up, and 6/1 on them to go down.

If all results go in their favour, a shock win at Goodison Park today could significantly boost the Clarets' hopes of survival for another season.

Last three Premier League meetings

Burnley 1-1 Everton (December 5, 2020)

Burnley made a dream start to this fixture at Turf Moor, breaking the deadlock through a long-range effort from Robbie Brady with just three minutes on the clock, as Everton struggled to find their feet for large periods of the first half.

Thankfully, a familiar face was on hand to draw the tie level for Carlo Ancelotti's side as their top scorer, Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored a late equaliser in the half's third minute of added time, converting a low-drilled cross from Richarlison

A goalless second half in Lancashire meant the spoils were shared between the two on this occasion, Calvert-Lewin continued his run atop the Premier League top scorers list as Everton dropped to ninth and Burnley remained in 16th.

Everton 1-0 Burnley (December 26, 2019)

Ancelotti got off to winning ways in his first game as Everton manager as a late second-half goal for the Toffees ensured a 1-0 win at Goodison Park.

The visitors nearly took the lead within just three minutes, but a heroic goal-line clearance from Yerry Mina to deny Jay Rodriguez ensured the scores remained level, as the home side began to find the rhythm under the great Italian's new reign.

Everton's persistence finally paid off in the 80th minute when they found a late - albeit deserved - winner, Calvert-Lewin converted Dijbril Sidibe's testing cross with a diving header, that struck the woodwork as it went in.

Burnley 1-0 Everton (October 5, 2019)

Extending their losing streak to four consecutive games under Marco Silva, 10-man Everton were left just one point off the Premier League relegation places, as a superb goal from Jeff Hendrick at Turf Moor continued the collapse of the Portuguese manager's reign.

The two clubs appeared to be cancelling each other out for all of an hour but Seamus Coleman's dismissal for a second bookable offence signified the beginning of the end for the Toffees.

Scoring the game's only goal, Jeff Hendrick exquisitely connected with Ashley Westwood's in-swinging corner to strike a superb first-time volley past Jordan Pickford, as chaos ensued in the home end.

Head-to-head in the Premier League

Played: 13

Everton wins: 7

Draws: 1

Burnley wins: 5

Everton scored: 20

Burnley scored: 11

Ancelotti and the Champions League: A Love Story

As one of only three managers to have won three Champions League trophies - twice with AC Milan and once with Real MadridCarlo Ancelotti knows the competition like the back of his hand.

Therefore it has come as no surprise to Blues fans and pundits alike, that the legendary Italian has inspired one of Everton's most realistic campaigns for a top-four finish in years.

The Toffees currently sit in sixth place, four points behind Chelsea in fourth having played one less game than Thomas Tuchel's side, and an emulation of their consistent form earlier this season in the league's latter stages could see their dream become a reality.

Paddy Power are offering odds of 7/1 for Everton to secure a finish in the Champions League places by the end of the season.

Although the likes of a high-flying Chelsea side, a revolutionised West Ham and age-old rivals in Liverpool stand in their way, let's not rule out a late European surge at Goodison Park as they continue to dream under Ancelotti.

Burnley's next five games after playing Everton

Southampton (A)

Newcastle (H)

Manchester United (A)

Wolves (A)

West Ham (H)

With difficult games waiting in the wings for Fulham, Brighton and Newcastle, an impressive return of seven to 10 points from these five tricky fixtures should all but secure Burnley's safety.

Score prediction: Everton 2-0 Burnley

The Toffees have kept four clean sheets in their last six games, with the resurgence of Michael Keane's form and consistently great performances from summer signing Ben Godfrey rejuvenating their defensive set-up, Burnley have recorded two.

One thing to note however, is that the Clarets have scored one more goal than Everton in that period, returning six goals as opposed to Everton's five.

Despite this, an upturn in form for Brazilian forward Richarlison could make all the difference in the home side breaking down Burnley's resolute defence, the former Watford man has scored four goals in his previous six appearances, and will be determined to maintain his red-hot form.

The last three meetings between the two sides have produced just four goals between them and another cagey affair is likely to be on the cards today.

Ultimately however, a strong Everton side should overcome the tough test posed by Dyche's men and get back to winning ways.

A 2-0 win for the home side is priced at 9/1 on Sky Bet.

Goalscorer bets

Anyone favouring Burnley for this tie can get odds of 66/1 on Sky Bet for Chris Wood to score and the Clarets to win.

In Everton's case, Richarlison to score first is 5/1 and the Brazilian to score anytime is 23/10 on Ladbrokes.

READ MORE: Fulham vs Manchester City: Cottagers can climb out of the bottom three with a good result

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