Who should I bet on at Glorious Goodwood?

We roll on to the final day of the marathon that is Glorious Goodwood and the Planet Sport tipsters are on hand to help you find a winner or two, hopefully.

The Qatar Goodwood Festival - better known as 'Glorious Goodwood - sees five days of thrilling (and often frustrating for punters) racing action on the Sussex Downs.

The Goodwood CupSussex StakesNassau Stakes and King George Stakes are done and dusted, but the week's big betting highlight, the Stewards' Cup, is to come - scroll down for our analysis - and there is also the consolation race to get stuck into.

Saturday's selections:

1.20 Master Zoffany

1.55 Royal Scimitar

2.30 Rhythmic Intent

3.05 Wonderful Tonight

3.40 Hurricane Ivor / Major Jumbo (each-way)

4.10 Flying Secret

4.45 Lawn Ranger (each-way)

Scroll down the page for the reasoning behind our selections and do remember to take a price when placing a bet with Planet Sport Bet, as we're Best Odds Guaranteed on every Goodwood race from 10.00am.

Betting pointers for Glorious Goodwood

Before we launch into the reasoning behind Friday's tips, here are a few betting pointers which might help you turn a profit - or at least minimise any losses - over the course of the week.

Don't bet on every race

With the action coming thick and fast, the temptation is to get financially involved in every race, but that's only going to end one way - unless you have the Midas Touch.

Due to the quirky nature of the track, form doesn't always play out and some of the results are mind-boggling. Trust us on that one.

To put it another way, the best horses don't always win and you'll hear hard luck stories after every race, especially the handicaps where jockeys are jostling for position and some face nigh on impossible tasks due to the draw.

It happens. Move on. The lesson being: keep stakes relatively small and be selective.

It's the luck of the draw

Horses can overcome bad draws of course but less so at Goodwood and especially so over 7f and 1m, due to the sharp bend that horses have to manoeuvre around as they turn into the straight.

It doesn't take a genius to work out that a low draw - one closest to the running rail - is going to be advantageous. Indeed, a high number in double-figure field handicaps is a real barrier to success and jockeys on such horses will need to be super savvy - or get a huge amount of luck - to overcome it.

Unfortunately, bookmakers will factor in the effect of the draw into their prices - they're not daft!

Hard luck stories are commonplace at Goodwood
Hard luck stories are commonplace at Goodwood

Speed rules over stamina

Given its sharp nature, Goodwood suits those horses with the necessary speed to travel through a race and not get so far back (or wide) that they can't give their true running.

The old adage 'horses for courses' rings more true at Goodwood than pretty much any other track in the land, with the possible exception of Epsom.

So any horse that has either won or run well here previously - those with 'CD' (course and distance winner) next to their name - should be your starting point.

On the subject of course specialists, honourable mentions go to Battaash and Stradivarius, who are both 4-4 at the track and are out to maintain their 100 per cent strike rates this week in the King George Stakes and Goodwood Cup respectively.

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Horses' connections matter a lot

It's a fact that some trainers target this meeting and Mark Johnston, who comfortably leads the top trainer stats over the last five seasons (37-265, 14 per cent), is the prime example.

The problem being he has plenty of losers too and is often represented by more than one runner in each race. We never said it was easy.

Andrew Balding (26-175, 15 per cent) and William Haggas (24-117, 21 per cent), with the latter's runners actually producing a small profit of £4.19 to £1 level-stakes profit, are other trainers to note here.

But stables can go in and out of form quickly and any trainer on a good run of winners to runners coming into the week is worth a second look.

As for the jockeys, Oisin Murphy leads the way in terms of sheer number of winners (38-230, 17 per cent), which is unsurprising given he's in demand and gets the leg up on plenty of fancied runners.

It's a similar story for Jim Crowley (32-170), William Buick (20-87) and Silvestre De Sousa (22-150), with the latter leading the way for the current campaign - his five winners have come from just 14 rides (36 per cent) and yielded a tasty profit of £13.37.

Jockey Silvestre De Sousa rides plenty of Goodwood winners
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa rides plenty of Goodwood winners

Essentially, all four jockeys mentioned know how to ride this track better than most and, while not immune to hard luck stories, will invariably get the job done providing their mounts prove willing and are good enough.

It's also worth noting any Qatari-owned horses as they likely will have been primed by their respective trainers to run big races, given that the festivals sponsor, Qatar, will be keen to pick up some of the generous prize money on offer.

The two most prominent Qatari-based ownerships are Qatar Racing Limited and Al Shaqab Racing, both boasting a healthy strike rates of around 20 per cent in the last five seasons.

Take a price on your selections

The reason being you'll get paid out at the starting price if it's bigger as Planet Sports Bet will be offering Best Odds Guaranteed on all Goodwood races from 10.00am daily. It's a no-brainer really.

Last but not least, keep it a fun thing and don't chase your losses.

With all that in mind, here are our selections for Saturday's seven-race card.

1.20 Goodwood - Master Zoffany

Plenty of these three-year-olds are likely ahead of their handicap marks, which makes finding the winner all the more tricky, but we're pretty certain they include Master Zofffany.

He's gone up just 3lb and for winning at Chester over today's trip of 7f and that looks very fair given that several of the placed horses have run decent races since.

Soft ground is important to him (huge tick), as he showed when hacking up at Chester in May and, while it's drying out all the time, it's very unlikely to ride fast on the day.

His position in stall one can be seen as a positive as the horses do an almost 90 degree turn into the home straight, meaning high numbers have further to travel.

That said, he'll still need some luck in running but we'll take that chance at the odds.

1.55 Goodwood - Royal Scimitar

The consolation race for those horses who didn't make the cut for the Stewards' Cup can go to Royal Scimitar, who was showing a welcome return to form when returned to sprinting at Newmarket last time, finishing fourth of the 17 runners.

Described as an "exciting prospect" after a winning a Newbury novice over 6f on his debut last July - the form of which has worked out well - he's been largely disappointing since over longer trips.

He ran with the choke out when fading into fourth over a mile at this track back in April, and he again showed plenty of speed last time, faring by far the best of those that raced in the larger stands' side group.

A mark of 97 is surely one he can win off and he's preferred to the forecast favourite First Folio, who bounced off fast ground when winning at York last time and, while still respected, may not be so effective on this slower terrain

Selection: Royal Scimitar

2.30 Goodwood - Rhythmic Intent

In the hope there is some cut in the ground - more rain forecast so looking good in that respect - we're going to put up Rhythmic Intent as one to back at juicy odds.

After showing nothing on his first two starts this term, he looked to be coming to hand when when finding only Makram too good at Sandown earlier this month.

A good winner at York last July, he stepped up on that when easily landing a Newbury handicap over an extended 1m5f, before running a highly creditable fourth in the Old Newton Cup.

Best with some give underfoot and on a reasonable mark of 96, he should give us a good run for our money.

His trainer Stuart Williams is certainly sounding hopeful of that.

"He's in good form and ran a nice race over a trip short of his best last time. We're very much looking forward to seeing him run as conditions should suit."

Selection: Rhythmic Intent

3.05 Goodwood - Wonderful Tonight

Connections of Wonderful Tonight would have been pleased to see rain falling at the start of the week, as ease underfoot is a prerequisite for her, and with further showers forecast in the run up to the race, conditions should be perfect.

She was completing a Group race hat-trick when making her seasonal return to action at Royal Ascot last month, having signed off last season with a Group One success on Champions Day, and her rivals here can't hold a candle to that sort of form.

With her stable in flying form - Migration was making it 3-9 in the last fortnight when landing a gamble here on Tuesday - and usual pilot William Buick in the plate, she looks banker material.

Selection: Wonderful Tonight

3.40 Goodwood - Hurricane Ivor / Major Jumbo

With little chance of the ground drying out significantly, given the weather forecast, we're having to switch our allegiance from fast-ground performer Great Ambassador to Hurricane Ivor.

William Haggas' four-year-old is up in the weights for his Sandown dead heat two starts back and a short head defeat at Ascot last time, looking unlucky on both occasions not to be called the outright winner.

However, as his latest rise came after the weights for this race were framed, he can race off a mark of 100 and is effectively 3lb well in here.

Clearly in great heart and suited by ground with cut in it - it was good to soft at the Esher track and for both his wins in France - he should have no trouble getting this easy 6f.

As you'd expect a case can be made for a good number of these and it's absolutely a race to fire a couple of arrows at, so we're backing Major Jumbo too at much bigger odds.

Kevin Ryan's seven-year-old has become dangerously well handicapped (13lb below his peak) after a string of defeats going back to August 2019, but he's given the impression on his last two starts that he is capable of taking advantage.

An eye-catching third on the all-weather Newcastle was followed by a sixth at Ascot, where his apprentice rider simply went too fast on him having gone straight to the front.

He likes to be ridden that way and this downhill track suits that style, so he looks sure to give us a good run for our money, with the booking of Josephine Gordon, who was on board when he won a York handicap on soft, the only other time she has ridden him, clinching the bet.

Selections: Hurricane Ivor / Major Jumbo (each-way)

4.10 Goodwood - Flying Secret

Unless there is a serious market mover for Ring Of Beara, the only newcomer with a Group entry, it could pay to concentrate on those horses who contested a hot novice at Ascot 21 days ago, with the runner-up, Flying Secret, a half-sister to Japan and Mogul, fancied to lead them all home.

Selection: Flying Secret

4.45 Goodwood - Lawn Ranger

Not a race to overboard on by any means but a small each-way interest in Lawn Ranger could pay dividends.

Michael Attwater’s six-year-old doesn't win often but one of his four career successes came at this track and trip, and he can race off a 6lb lower mark today.

He last won almost a year ago now, having taken a few runs to find top form, and it could be a similar story this time around.

Well drawn in stall four nearest the running rail and with Angus Villiers taking a handy 3lb off his back, it wouldn't surprise to see him leave some recent modest efforts well behind and belie his huge odds.

Selection: Lawn Ranger each-way

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