Saturday ITV Racing Tips: Best bets for Newmarket and Haydock

The Camdridgeshire is one of six races being shown live on ITV and Planet Sport experts have been doing their homework - to save you the trouble - to come up with a selection for each.


1.50 Newarket Royal Patronage

2.05 Haydock Afaak

2.25 Newmarket Flotus

2.40 Haydock Premier Power

3.00 Newmarket Perfect Power

3.40 Newmarket Lucander / Long Tradition

But before we dive into the selctions, there's a very handy free bet offer at Planet Sport Bet you should know about, and here's how it works.

Get up to a £20 free bet if your horse places second and is beaten a neck or less - this applies to all ITV races!

1.50 Newmarket - Royal Patronage

Andrew Balding's Masekela has been put in as favourite and it's hard to argue with that as his defeat of Bayside Boy last time was franked when the runner up went one better in the Group 2 Champagne Stakes.

But he's already been beaten twice this season and while he's clearly decent, the suspicion is that he's no superstar in the making.

At short odds we have to take him on with Mark Johnston's Royal Patronage, who is chasing a hat-trick after 7f wins at Epsom and York, where he was a shock 25/1 victor.

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There was no fluke about that, though, as he had his rivals well strung out behind, and he promises to be even better now stepping up to a mile for the first time on his breeding.

Furthermore the Rowley Mile will suit his front running style.

2.05 Haydock - Afaak

Forecast favourite Noble Dynasty only just held on from a couple of more exposed sorts on his handicap debut at Thirsk.

Charlie Appleby's charge is likely better than the bare form would suggest and has scope for improvement after just four starts, but his cramped odds are more to do with his powerful connections than what he's achieved so far.

Charlie Hills' Afaak on the the other hand represents some value at current odds following a highly encouraging comeback run last month.

He's entitled to come on plenty for that and he's back on a good mark of 98, which is 5lb lower than when he won the Royal Hunt Cup in 2019.

2.25 Newmarket - Flotus

Sacred Bridge has done nothing wrong in winning all four of her starts and this race was mentioned as a target after her latest success at the Curragh in August.

Ger Lyon's Irish raider has to be given maximum respect but bookmakers aren't giving much away and, in what is a much stronger contest, we're going to look elsewhere for some value.

Step forward Simon and Ed Crisford's Flotus who looked a very smart filly indeed when scooting up on her racecourse debut in May.

Things haven't gone to plan since with her tendency to pull hard under a restrained ride contributing to three subsequent defeats, while she would have found 5f at Newbury too sharp two starts back.

But she again looked the part when allowed to stride on in a Listed contest at Ripon last time, making all to rout her rivals by four and a half lengths or more.

Strong at the finish there she ought to stay further than today's 6f, but similarly positive tactics could make her hard to catch on the Rowley Mile.

2.40 Haydock - Premier Power

We were keen on the chances of Premier Power in the Portland Handicap at the St Leger meeting and while the gelding could only finish ninth of the 16 runners, there was enough to suggest he's not one to give up on just yet.

Lightly-raced after eight career starts, yielding two victories, he's returned to action this season on a good mark and his spin on the all-weather in August was clearly needed.

His trainer Roger Varian said before the Doncaster race that he'd come on plenty for that and in the end he was only beaten three lengths by the winner, having endured a far from trouble-free passage.

With his stable continuing in good form, he's given a chance to atone at decent odds.

3.00 Newmarket - Perfect Power

Having taken on several short-priced favourites so far, we're less keen to find one to beat market leader Perfect Power, whose form looks head and shoulders above his rivals.

The winner of the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot, he was unlucky not to follow up at Glorious Goodwood, where he found all sorts of trouble in finishing fifth, before showing his true colours again when running away with the Group 1 Prix Morny over today's 6f trip.

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On that evidence he'll have no trouble getting further but this race on the Rowley Mile looks tailor-made for Richard Fahey's juvenile, and he's a confident selection with Christophe Soumillon renewing the partnership.

3.40 Newmarket - Lucander / Long Tradition

Ante post favourite Uncle Bryn is on the slide after seemingly deserted by Frankie Dettori for stablemate Magical Morning, who predictably has been cut into single-figure odds by bookmakers.

The former horse was a shocking price at 4/1 and we're not interested in backing him at a few points longer either, given that this cavalry charge is an entirely different test to the steadily-run handicap he landed at Ascot last time.

His stablemate Magical Morning is not so easy to dismiss on form and he'll enjoy the fast ground (not lost on Frankie for sure), while his draw in stall 35 is potentially advantageous.

Frankie Dettori has plumped for Magical Morning in the Cambridgeshire
Frankie Dettori has plumped for Magical Morning in the Cambridgeshire

There has been a definite swing towards high numbers in recent times with last year's 40/1 winner Majestic Dawn (stall 25, near rail) helped massively by a significant draw bias.

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He will exit from stall 34 on his follow up bid but we're more interested in last year's runner-up Lucander (28), who is now 3lb lower than 12 months ago and shaped as though running into top form when not beaten far into fourth over further at York last time, only fading late on.

We'll also be having a few quid on Saeed bin Suroor's Long Tradition, who will come out of box 37 and looked all the better for a gelding operation when hacking up at Chelmsford on his most recent start.

His previous second behind Sea Syph received a timely boost when the winner went in again at Goodwood on Wednesday, and there has to be more to come from the three-year-old, with his current mark of 90 surely not the ceiling of his ability.

First-time cheekpieces and the booking of Marco Ghiani, who has an eye-catching 44% (7-16) strike rate on the stable runners, are other positives.

Marco Ghiani has an excellent record for Saeed bin Suroor
Marco Ghiani has an excellent record for Saeed bin Suroor

The big gamble of the race has been recent Ayr winner Chichester, who is well-in under his 4lb penalty and was as big as 66/1 at the start of the week.

The big question is whether he can do it again just nine days later and the record of horses who competed at the Western meeting is poor, with Rambo's Hall in 1989 the last such horse to win this.

Berthed in stall 10 and with any value in his price gone, we'll swerve him.

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