Saturday ITV Racing Tips: Best bets for Newmarket, Ascot and Redcar

The ITV cameras are rolling at three meetings on Saturday and we've a tip for each of the eight televised races, plus there's news of a free bet offer not to be missed.

Let's begin with those free bets which are available in all ITV races - not just this weekend - and work like this...

Get up to £20 back as a free bet if your selection places second and is beaten by a neck or less!

With that concession on your side, you can bet on our selections (or go against us) with a little more confidence...

Selections:

1.45 Newmarket - Talbeyah

2.05 Ascot - Minzaal

2.20 Newmarket - Stubble Field

2.40 Ascot - Title

2.55 Newmarket - Mother Earth

3.15 Ascot Great Ambassador

3.35 Redcar - Atomise (each-way)

3.50 Ascot River - Nymph

1.45 Newmarket - Talbeyah

Talbeyah might have top weight to carry in this fillies handicap and her recent form figures don't inspire either, but don't let that put you off backing Owen Burrows' daughter of Lope De Vega.

She clearly didn't stay 1m4f on the July Course two starts back and her latest fourth in Listed company at Yarmouth can be marked up, as the race didn't suit those like her who were held up.

Back down in class this afternoon and over what is her ideal trip, a return to the sort of form she showed in winning twice earlier this campaign, with another Listed fourth sandwiched in between, is on the cards.

You've also got to like her double-figure price.

2.05 Ascot - Minzaal

Hurricane Ivor is chasing a hat-trick and has been put in as favourite just ahead of course specialist Tis Marvellous, but I'm not sure he wants a stiff 6f, with all of his three wins coming over shorter, and both horses are penalised besides.

I'm taking them on with another Burrows inmate in Minzaal, who is rated their superior but does have a long absence to overcome. Some market support would increase confidence therefore but he's worth chancing at the odds based on the smart form he showed at two.

Owen Burrows looks to have several good chances at the weekend
Owen Burrows looks to have several good chances at the weekend

Back to back wins over this trip at Salisbury and York were followed by a highly respectable third in the Group 1 Middle Park, and his debut fourth over this course and distance last summer is better than it looks, as he was slowly away and short of room at a vital stage.

He's in the Champions Sprint run later this month and this is clearly a warm up, but it wouldn't surprise if he proved good enough to see off today's inferior rivals, the best of whom are giving him weight.

2.20 Newmarket - Stubble Field

The weights for this juvenile race are determined by auction price and Stubble Field, who only cost 9,000gns as a yearling and looks a bargain at that price, is fancied to make the most of the weight concession she receives from the majority of her rivals.

They include Fearby, who is quite rightly favourite on his juvenile form, which includes a third in the Group 3 Mill Reef last time out, but he might struggle to give nearly a stone to the selection, whose debut second over track and trip last month was full of promise.

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While that was only a novice, the way she quickened from the pack to throw down a challenge to the favourite, who had to pull out all the stops to score by a neck, was impressive and the front pair came clear of some fair sorts.

She's entitled to come on for that and we can also take plenty of encouragement from the form of her small stable, with two of Simon Pearce's four runners in the last fortnight winning at huge odds (25/1 and 33/1).

2.40 Ascot - Title

I've already put up two Owen Burrows-trained horses as potential bets and his Hukum will be many people's idea of the winner of this 1m4f Group 3, but he won't be carrying my money.

He's clearly vulnerable at that trip as he showed when turned over at long odds-on on the all-weather at Kempton last time out, for all it was no disgrace to be beaten by the talented Hamish, who was getting 3lb.

He faces another improving sort here in Roger Varian's Title, who is in receipt of 9lb and looked a future Group winner when slamming his handicap rivals over this trip at Doncaster last month, his first run back after being gelded.

His earlier third behind Alenquer, my Arc tip, in a Group 2 at Royal Ascot also looks strong form and he's still relatively unexposed after just six starts. He'll do for me.

2.55 Newmarket - Mother Earth

The market for this 1m Group 1 contest for fillies is dominated by three-year-olds and the pick of these has to be Aidan O'Brien's Mother Earth, who is already a dual winner at this level, including the 1,000 Guineas run over track and trip.

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Since then she has kept her form remarkably well and looked deeply unfortunate not to make it three Group 1s for the season on her most recent start in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown, where she was twice hampered in an action-packed final furlong.

With her powerful stable firing on all cylinders and her ability to handle soft conditions proven, she's worth backing to get back to winning ways, possibly at the expense of Champers Elysees, who was a place behind her in the Matron.

3.15 Ascot - Great Endeavour

Glen Shiel is the class act in this 6f Group 3 but he's not easy to fancy on recent efforts and the first two home in the Ayr Gold Cup, Bielsa and Great Ambassador, make more appeal.

They both deserve a crack at this level and preference is for Ed Walker's runner-up, who was perhaps unlucky to bump into one that raced alone on the opposite side of the track at Ayr, doing best of those drawn low.

I'll put him as the selection here but will keep one eye on the market as any confidence behind the returning Boosala might prove significant.

William Haggas' charge looked potentially Group class when winning both his juvenile starts and has been restricted to one start since. He has been kept in training for a reason.

3.35 Redcar - Atomise

There's plenty of rain in the forecast for the area and that puts me off the front two in the market, Vintage Clarets, who has yet to race on ground slower than good, and Chipotle, who has finished well beaten on the two occasions he has encountered a soft surface.

Those just behind them in the betting look fairly exposed, which got me looking further down the list for a lively long shot and Charlie Fellowes' filly Atomise caught the eye.

She's had just the one start so far it was a highly promising one at that, resulting in a close up fourth place finish at Yarmouth, fought out between her and three equally promising sorts.

Some natural progression from that initial experience can be expected and she's certainly bred to be decent, being closely related to sprinter Harry Hurricane (rated high 90s in his prime) and a half-sister to four further winners.

That her sire Ardad won the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot on soft ground as a juvenile provides encouragement that she will handle testing conditions (should they materialise) and overcome her lack of experience, which is a concern obviously.

At huge odds - 33/1 at the time of writing - and with a low weight to carry, she's worth a roll of the dice each-way.

3.50 Ascot - River Nymph

The weather will play a big part in the outcome of this Heritage Handicap run over the intermediate trip of 7f, with any significant rain likely to spoil the chances of several, including the fancied Aratus.

Given fast ground I'd have no hesitation in making him the pick as he's seriously progressive, having won four on the bounce all over the trip and giving the impression he was just doing enough each time.

But any dig in the ground, which seems more likely, is going to play to the strengths of course and distance winner Aldaary, albeit that success came off a 10lb lower mark than today's, and Fresh, whose Ascot record reads 212 but is now stepping up to 7f for the first time.

River Nymph, a stablemate of Aratus, is another who likes to get his toe in and his Ascot form is just as compelling, with his defeat of 26 rivals here in the spring making it two wins over this track and trip.

He's running off just a 4lb higher this afternoon and should strip fitter for last month's outing in Listed company (not disgraced in fourth), having been off the track for 111 days. All of which earns him the vote.

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