Saturday August 28 Tips: Best bets for the live ITV races

The ITV cameras are rolling at three meetings on Saturday and Planet Sport's experts are on hand with a selection for each of the live races.

Selections:

1.50 Goodwood - Daneh

2.05 Beverley - Titian

2.25 Goodwood - Aratus

2.45 Newmarket - Royal Scimitar

3.00 Goodwood - Nagano

3.15 Beverley - Judicial

3.35 Goodwood - Duke Of Hazzard (each-way)

Before we launch into the tips, there's a free bet offer that is well worth having on your side if you are considering a bet this weekend. Here's how it works...

Get up to £20 back as a free bet if your horse places second and is beaten by a neck or less - applies to all ITV races!

Last Saturday, backers of Quickthorn in the Ebor Handicap with Planet Sport Bet had a narrow miss, with the gelding beaten by a head into second, but the consolation of a free bet would have eased some of their frustration.

1.50 Goodwood - Daneh

Both Clitheroe and Hello You gave the impression they would improve for the step up to today's trip of 7f on their latest starts, with the former only just failing to get up at Newbury and expected to come on plenty for that debut effort.

However, the pick goes to Simon and Ed Crisford's Daneh, who wasn't beaten far into third in a French Group 3 last time, having won a Kempton maiden in impressive fashion previously.

Out of the dual Group 1 winner Rizeena, she has clearly inherited plenty of her dam's talent and her yard, which excels with juveniles, is enjoying a fine run of form with six winners from 22 runners (27%) in the last fortnight.

Of the rest, Tinderbox, Mise En Scene and Wilderness Girl all arrive on the back of wins in novice / maiden company and the latter's success over course and distance marks her out as a danger.

2.05 Beverley - Titian

Likely favourite Barn Owl will appreciate the return to a sounder surface and has first-time cheek pieces to help him too, but he might struggle to cope with William Haggas' Titian.

While he's had 309 days off the track, his astute trainer is likely to have him fit and ready to exploit what could be a generous mark of 86, and bag what is a valuable prize in the process.

He was a highly promising juvenile last season when winning over a mile on the all-weather at Newcastle in taking fashion and finishing fourth in a hot maiden at Newmarket, one place ahead of the now 113-rated Yibir.

He's also entitled to be even better at three and being the first foal of a French 1m2f-1m4f winner, he'll enjoy the extra two furlongs of today's race.

With his stable continuing to churn out winners and having an outstanding record at this track - 8-21, 38%, over the last five seasons - he looks sure to go close under Tom Marquand.

William Haggas is a trainer to follow at Beverley
William Haggas is a trainer to follow at Beverley

2.25 Goodwood - Aratus

While he won't be much of a price, it's hard to look past Aratus as Clive Cox's three-year-old is clearly a horse going places and won more easily than his half-length winning margin at Newbury last time would suggest.

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That the fast-finishing second Sunset Bay was able to get so close on that occasion was a blessing in that the handicapper could only raise the winner 4lb, and his revised mark of 98 is surely not the ceiling of his ability.

Listed events beckon for him, but this valuable handicap run over his ideal trip of 7f and on likely fast ground that suits looks to be his for the taking.

His stablemate and year older Dance Fever has to concede him 7lb but still rates the main danger, having lost little in defeat when second behind a progressive sort last time.

2.45 Newmarket - Royal Scimitar

Cox can make it a quick across-the-card double with Royal Scimitar in this 6f Listed contest, with the three-year-old having looked unlucky not to score in hot handicaps the last two times.

His close-up fourth over course and distance two starts back certainly caught the eye as he fared easily the best of those that raced in the larger stands' side group, with the three horses that finished in front of him all racing far side.

Last time out at Ascot on Shergar Cup Day, he looked even more unlucky, having badly missed the break and then having to race solo, yet he was only just touched off in a very close finish.

Disappointing over further earlier in the season, the drop back to 6f has resulted in two career-best efforts and while stepping up to Listed class here, he wouldn't be the first smart handicapper to make such a transition.

Besides, this has the look of an open heat and likely favourite Tabdeed, who concedes the selection 3lb, looks eminently beatable.

3.00 Goodwood - Nagano

Roger Varian's Nagano has just a 1lb in hand over his two main rivals in this 1m6f Group 3 contest, but he's got plenty of scope for improvement after just five starts and can surely rate higher still.

After notching a couple of novice wins in May, he wasn't disgraced by any means when sixth of the 17 runners in a hot handicap at Royal Ascot, the form of which has worked out remarkably well.

On his most recent outing in a competitive handicap over 1m4f here, he readily reversed form with the Ascot fourth to take his record to 3-5 and this race has been his target since.

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While he does have to prove he stays this far, he's looked strongest at the finish on all his starts to date, and that we know he acts on this idiosyncratic track is another big plus.

3.15 Beverley - Judicial

The evergreen Judicial arrives in prime form for this Listed prize over 5f after clocking up win number 17 at Chester last time, and his record at this track is eye-catching too, with three wins and a third to show from four outings, including the 2019 renewal.

He's not overlooked lightly but he does have to shoulder a penalty and is worse off with the Chester second Dakota Gold, who was clearly unsuited by the track on that occasion and was a comfortable winner of this 12 months ago.

However, the ground was riding soft then and indeed for all three of his subsequent wins, so the prospect of much faster ground on Saturday - providing the forecast is correct - has to be a concern and the pick goes to Hurricane Ivor (NON-RUNNER) instead.

William Haggas' four-year-old showed his soft-ground Goodwood run to be all wrong when finishing third of the 22 runners at York 10 days ago, with the drop back to 5f on a sounder surface clearly to his liking.

He was doing all his best work at the finish that day so today's stiff 5f could prove absolutely ideal for him, and we've already alluded to the strong record of his bang-in-form stable at this track.

In the absence of Hurricane Ivor and with the ground riding good to firm, we're making Judicial our selection.

3.35 Goodwood - Duke Of Hazzard

Godolphin's Benbatl has been declared for this Group 2 prize over a mile instead of a lesser event at Windsor, and at his very best he'd take all the beating.

However, he's clearly been hard to train, having seen racecourse action just once in 18 months, and it's anyone's guess as to how much ability he retains at the age of seven.

He's readily opposed at shortish odds and it's hard to be confident about the next two in the betting either: Chindit has yet to reproduce his smart juvenile form in four starts at three, while Mutasaabeq had little to beat at Haydock last time when his two main rivals underperformed.

So the value call has to be Paul and Oliver Cole's Duke Of Hazzard, with the remarkably consistent five-year-old almost certain to perform at his best in a race he won two years ago, with ground conditions to suit.

Last year's remote fifth can be easily excused on account of soft ground and that was a rare poor performance at this track, where his record on good or quicker ground reads 1112.

While he's yet to win in six starts this term, he's run some solid races in defeat and clearly didn't quite get home when third over 1m1f on rain-eased ground at York last weekend.

James Doyle is back on board this afternoon and the hope is that he can steer the gelding into a place at the very least.

James Doyle gets the leg up on Duke Of Hazzard
James Doyle gets the leg up on Duke Of Hazzard

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