Newbury Expert Eye: Three horses to back on Wednesday, December 15

Having a bet at Newbury on Wednesday? Our expert eye piece might just help you turn a profit.

You can scroll down for the reasons behind our three outright picks, as well as some useful stats, or click on the horse's names below to head straight to Planet Sport Bet and place your bets.

Selections:

The Macon Lugnatic (13.25 Newbury)

Silver Forever (14.00 Newbury)

Guardino (14.35 Newbury)

You can see the full Newbury racecard and results with Planet Sport here

Newbury course characteristics

Left-handed, flat and galloping, with stiff fences. Circuit 1m7f.

Top trainers with runners

Nicky Henderson, who trains nearby in Lambourn, has sent out 50 winners here over the last five seasons, and they've come at a healthy strike rate of 23% (216 runners). Backing them all blind would have yielded a small level-stakes profit.

The master of Seven Barrows runs four this afternoon: I Am Maximus (12.50), Colonial Dreams (13.25, Valsheda (13.25) and Casablanca Mix (14.00).

Paul Nicholls has sent out 32 winners over the same period and for a much bigger profit of £39.02 to £1 level-stakes. He is 6-16 (38%) in the current season.

He has three chances this afternoon: One Journey (12.20), Silver Forever (14.00) and Shearer (14.35).

Top jockeys with rides

Nico de Boinville is the leading rider here over the past five seasons with 32 of his 133 rides (24%) ending up in the winners' enclosure. He's on three of the Henderson runners with the exception of Colonial Dreams.

Harry Cobden is fast catching him up, though, with his five winners (from just 11 rides, 45%) this season taking his five-season total to 28 (121 rides, 23%). He gets the leg up on Nicholls' One Journey and Silver Forever, one of our outright picks.

Harry Cobden has two rides for Paul Nicholls at Newbury this afternoon

13.25 Newbury - The Macon Lugnatic

Trainer Ben Pauling has emerged from a quiet spell with three good-priced winners (5/1, 5/1 and 50/1) in the last week, and he has a couple of winning chances this afternoon.

Trainer Ben Pauling can be amongst the winners at Newbury

The Macon Lugnatic wouldn't be one of the stable's stars but he's won four times under Rules (a bumper here and three hurdles) and is handicapped to add another success over fences at the fourth attempt.

Following a promising fourth in a Bangor handicap, the seven-year-old was fancied to get the job done at Doncaster last time out but came down at 13th when yet to be asked a question.

Off a mark that is 12lb lower than his peak hurdles rating, he's worth another chance in today's 3m handicap, in which he carries just 10st 4lb, with Kielan Woods taking over from a conditional.

It's a competitive race, mind, and Quartz Du Rheu, the winner of two of his three starts since returning to action in September, is respected, along with Nicky Henderson's chasing debutant Valsheda. The latter's lack of experience is a concern, though.

14.00 Newbury - Silver Forever

With some talented mares in opposition, the Paul Nicholls-trained Silver Forever should be available at a backable price to follow-up her recent success over course and distance.

Given her lofty rating (142), she'd be giving weight to all off her rivals in a handicap, whereas she can compete off level weights in this Listed contest, and is getting 4lb from her main market rival Chilli Filli.

The latter mare is respected having kept on strongly to win another Listed contest (3m) at Market Rasen on her chase debut, but the Nicholls runner is potentially going to take high rank in the staying novice division this term.

The winner of three of her hurdles starts, achieving a rating of 145 in that sphere, she was given a whole season off to mature, and judging by her ready defeat of the very useful Imperial Alcazar in a match here, she has returned better than ever.

Rebecca Curtis' Legends Gold is an out-and-stayer who fill strip fitter for her reappearance third behind recent Becher Chase winner Snow Leopardess. She's one to note when returned to staying handicaps off what looks a lenient mark.

14.35 Newbury - Guardino

If Pauling is out of luck with The Macon Lugnatic, he has an even better chance with Guardino in this "national hunt" novices' hurdle run over an extended 2m4f.

That trip could be the key to unlocking the seven-year-old's potential as, while he's Flat-bred and managed to win a bumper at the second time of asking at Kempton in February, he gives the impression that further will suit.

His seasonal reappearance run over 2m at Wetherby in late October (when the stable was out of form) provides evidence for that, as he was doing all his best work late on to snatch second close home.

That form looks solid as the winner, Harbour Lake, is described as an "exciting young horse" by his trainer Alan King, while the third, Stream Of Stars, has won both starts since.

The selection is entitled to come on for that run and he has a fitness advantage of Goudhurst Star, who has been absent since winning a modest contest at Warwick in May.

Paul Nicholls' Shearer has had wind surgery since flopping as an odds-on favourite at Wincanton in October, and didn't look at all straightforward on that occasion. He might need some headgear fitting.

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