King George Diamond Day: Expert tips for the four ITV races from Ascot

Our team of experts have run the rule over Saturday's televised racing from Ascot, with four suggested bets.

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1.50 Ascot 6f Princess Margaret Keeneland Stakes (Group 3, Fillies)

System had a neck to spare over Desert Dreamer when the paid finished first and second in a Listed contest at Newmarket in June, but the result might have been different had the runner-up not been denied a clear run.

Stuart Williams' filly has since chased home the smart Sandrine (now 3-3) in a Group 2 back at HQ, where she might have finished closer had the winner not got first run on here, and this looks a good opportunity for her to get back to winning ways.

Attagirl, and impressive scorer at Haydock last time out, looks best of the remainder.

Selection: Desert Dreamer

2.25 Ascot 1m (Str) Porsche Handicap (Class 2, 3yo)

Isla Kai (non-runner) is chasing a four-timer, and a fifth consecutive turf win, but all his wins have been on softish ground and that makes him opposable unless the forecast rain materialises.

The combination of soft ground and the step up to 1m2f appeared to find out Fantastic Fox on his most recent outing at the royal meeting here, and he's taken to get back to winning ways.

A facile winner of a Hamilton maiden run over a similar trip to today's on fast ground previously, he looked as if he'd take some catching when opening up a big lead leaving the back last time out, only to curl up quickly once coming under pressure.

The son of Frankel has got to be worth another chance this afternoon with Silvestre De Sousa doing the steering.

Bottom weight Marsabit is feared most.

Selection: Fantastic Fox

3.00 Ascot 7f Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap, 3yo+)

As you'd expect, a case of sorts can be made for the majority of the 22 runners and we're guaranteed a decent payout if landing on the winner, with bookmakers going 5/1 the field.

Of those at the head of the market, both Matthew Flinders and Motakhayyel are very well handicapped sorts having been raised 10lb and 6lb respectively since the weights were framed.

The latter has gone up 9lb for winning the prestigious Bunbury Cup over this trip of 7f, for which he carries just a 3lb penalty, while Matthew Flinders has been hiked after returning to the sort of form which saw him finish third in the Newbury Spring Cup in a Listed contest at Chester.

Danyah is another fancied runner who has been run well in big handicaps, only finding one too good over track and trip last time, for which he's been raised 6lb.

All three are respected of course but we're going in search of some each-way value on the shape of Lord Rapscallion.

While he hasn't won since his days in Ireland, he has been knocking on the door of late without much luck and showing enough to suggest there is a big handicap like this one in him off his current mark.

At Ascot two starts back, he did well to finish fourth having lost his position and getting whacked on the nose with a rival jockey's whip before staying on.

His latest outing in the aforementioned Bunbury Cup resulted in third place under today's rider Hollie Doyle, keeping on well all the way to the line after the winner, Motakhayyel, had swept past him.

Hollie Doyle again gets the leg up on Lord Rapscallion
Hollie Doyle again gets the leg up on Lord Rapscallion

He now enjoys a small pull at the weighs with that horse, who is arguably a better horse at Newmarket, and a little rain (thundery showers forecast for Friday evening and on Saturday) won't hurt his chances either as he's shown he can handle some cut.

All he needs is a little luck in running and at double figure it's worth paying to find out.

Selection: Lord Rapscallion each-way

3.35 Ascot 1m4f (1m3f211y) King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1, 3yo+)

Aidan O'Brien's Love is a worthy favourite having shown herself to be out of the top drawer with four consecutive Group 1 wins, including the Prince of Wales's Stakes (1m 2f) on her first outing back as a four-year-old.

She's open to improvement from that and is just as effective over today's longer trip, so she could have the measure of Epsom Derby winner Adayar, who has yet to race on ground faster than good.

He could perhaps do with a drop of rain (some forecast) and that would also be welcomed by the connections of Lone Eagle, who looks a massive player on his Irish Derby neck second behind Hurricane Lane.

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The form of that contest was franked when the winner followed up in facile fashion in a French Group 1, and he's been pleasing his trainer Martyn Meade since.

While he goes on fast ground, he looks an out-and-out stayer, so some rain would help to slow down his pacier rivals, and furthermore he'll have the assistance of Frankie Dettori, who is seeking his eighth King George win.

Expect the Italian to make plenty of use of Lone Eagle's stamina, with the 7lb he receives from Love proving decisive.

Selection: Lone Eagle

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