Saturday's early value selection comes by the name of Ailie Rose, a 6-year-old mare who has definitely progressed nicely for her Irish trainer, SRB Crawford, winning or placing in 8 out of her 10 hurdle races.
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14:25 (Haydock) Ailie Rose
She was 3rd of eight runners over two and a half miles last time out three weeks ago at Carlisle after six months off, and maybe needed the run, although being beaten five lengths was no disgrace.
She had travelled and jumped well, before being left short of room approaching 2f out, and despite also being slightly hampered at the last, she still managed to finish 15 lengths clear of rest without having to be given a hard ride.
Interestingly, she also won on testing ground at Ayr on her 2nd run after her last extended break, romping home by around three lengths on that occasion, so a similar pattern of progress should hold her in good stead.
Actually, she made a mistake when 5th at Perth, was forced to switch and jumped left when 2nd at Down Royal, and was held up and slow at the first when 4th at Navan, finishing all those races in a respectable position, all suggesting we might have seen some more winners and placings had it not been for those mistakes and a little bad luck.
So, with experience and confidence increasing, she is overdue a run without mistakes and a clear round and a clear run should put her in contention.
Also, I like the fact that she won by six lengths on her final start in the spring, which was over a similar three-mile trip at Ayr, so Saturday's step in distance should not be an issue.
Last time out she was beaten by Good Risk At All, who had to work hard for the win, and on Saturday they meet again at Haydock. Considering Ailie Rose was not really pushed along on that occasion, she definitely has a better chance of finishing ahead of that rival than the prices would suggest.
Good Risk At All is still strongly fancied at around 7/1 currently, but Ailie Rose has a very promising apprentice on board in Ben Bromley, and with his claim he is effectively 13lb better off.
So all in all, there appears to be very attractive value here at the 16/1 price on offer.