Normally we would expect a three-year-old handicap to be full of unexposed types, but this Class 6 race is an exception.
The market leaders are fully exposed, and whilst they have shown form, they have been limited to placed efforts and look well worth taking on.
Cassiel sits towards the bottom of the betting market, but is one of the least exposed in the field. He ran five times in the summer as a two-year-old and looked backward, green, and modest, only postmarking a high of 25 in his three maidens over five and six furlongs.
17:50 (Wolverhampton) Cassiel
His seven-furlong handicap debut was only slightly better, where he was slowly away and made minor headway to be beaten by nine lengths, postmarking 31.
Cassiel was subsequently sold on and is now trained by Mark Weatherer, and was off the track for almost 400 days. Considering the trainer's low strike rate he made a fair seasonal debut over seven furlongs, going down by six lengths, postmarking 41 in the process (off a mark of 45).
It is his next, and most recent start that is most interesting. Stepping up to a mile for the first time, Cassiel dwelt at the start and was stuck in a pocket for much of the race before making late headway three out, staying on well to only go down by three lengths (postmarking 46).
This represented good progress, both mentally and physically, from a raw gelding to one that now seems to be maturing and improving with every race.
He has been a sluggish out of the stalls, which remains a concern, but his previous form is based upon those slow starts, so just an average break from today's low draw could well be enough to put him in with a big chance today.