Monday Wolverhampton top racing tip: Aryaah looking to turn improving form into a win

After a few near misses, Tipstrr horse racing expert Steve Jones thinks today's best bet looks good value to make it to the winners' enclosure in the last race of tonight's meeting at Wolverhampton.

A fairly open market sees top weight Roscioli emerging as an early favourite after catching the eye here last time, when he probably went into quite a few notebooks and, as a result, he has already been well supported.

That last run, over this course and distance just before Christmas, saw Roscioli finish fifth of 11 in stronger 0-77 company, but he was blocked halfway down the home straight before finishing strongly after his chance was gone, and he would no doubt have finished much closer with a clear run.

  • Next best bet: Roscioli

This appears to be an easier race and he runs off an unchanged mark, so he has to be of interest on this second run back following a 118-day break that included a wind operation, which looks to have had the desired effect.

He should come on again and he is very attractively treated, though there is still the suspicion that this distance around this tight, flat track might just be too sharp for him, given that he needed every yard of Newcastle's uphill ten furlongs for his last win, but nevertheless, his yard is flying and he will surely go well.

However, one who can beat him today is Aryaah, who looks a solid proposition now he returns to a preferred shorter trip after finding himself out-paced off a much slower 12-furlong pace here last time.

19:30 (Wolverhampton) Aryaah

Prior to that, he came here for an amateur jockeys' handicap, a 0-71 contest over this same trip in which he finished third of 12 when partnered by a very inexperienced rider. who was having only her second career ride.

Aryaah was held up to race quite keenly near the back of the field in the early stages, though to be fair to his rider, she did initially have him in a more forward position, but then got impeded and lost her pitch completely.

Because of that, the four-year-old's performance needs marking up because the eventual winner and second were in those positions the whole way, and they are both very good yardsticks for the form, because they are both real course specialists (the winner's last four successes have all come over this trip and the runner-up's last three wins have all been here).

Significantly, that was his first run back following a 116-day break incorporating a wind operation, which seems to have worked very well.

With Kevin Stott taking over today, Aryaah has a good chance from an unchanged mark because stall-5 draw will enable Stott (who rides this track particularly well and has the top strike rate here) to get the four-year-old into a prominent early position, so that the dual 10-furlong winner's proven stamina can be brought into play.

Still very lightly-raced on the all-weather after just four attempts, Aryaah is capable of much better in this sphere and the yard is going very well with six winners in recent days (the last two of them ridden by Stott).

With Roscioli drawn wide in stall 9, that one will probably have to come from off the pace once again, so Aryaah should get first run into the straight, which can make all the difference because he is a strong stayer at this trip and will take some passing if he hits the front.

Tip advised at 8/1 by Steve Jones who provides racing tips as CD Systems Daily Bargain on Tipstrr

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