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Hero Indian Open tips: Sebastian Soderberg can exploit good form in weakened field

Not the strongest field this week at the Hero Indian Open and a good opportunity for all of those playing to get a tour win; golf tipster Martin Colwell seeks out the value.

Hero Indian Open key stats:

When: March 28-31 2024
Where: DLF Golf and Country Club, New Dehli, India
How long: 7,416 yards - par 72
What to expect: Quirky tree-lined course, six water hazards, severe elevation changes, large undulating greens.
Who won last year: Marcel Siem


Rasmus Hojgaard is the 14/1 favourite in India. Last week he put in one bad round that knocked him back. The Dane has done that a few times in recent months and so cannot be trusted to perform here.

Non-winner but top twenty finisher Jordan Smith is 18/1. Smith has not won since 2017 and so should be passed by until he does win a tournament. The consistent Ewen Ferguson is 20/1. Another guy who can contend but struggles to get the win.

Bernd Wiesberger has reached dizzy heights in the world ranking in years gone by. Back from a short stint with LIV Golf, he is beginning to find his way again. 22/1 may well be good if he can get back to near his best form.

Indian golfer Anirban Lahiri has course form and has played on the USGA Tour in recent times. He will be a home country favourite this week and if he can rise to that, the 22/1 available looks appealing.

Richard Mansell was right up there last week in Singapore, but had a poor third round that knocked him back and so, 22/1 will be good if he can eliminate the poor round this week.

Yannik Paul was runner up here last year. The German has not been at his best in 2024, will returning to India revive his game? 

Another 22/1 shot, Joost Luiten has played this course before and it suits his style of game. Popular with some pundits this week, so the 25/1 available may be good each way value.

I like Sebastian Soderberg at 28/1. The Swede has been in really good form in 2024 and this looks to be a good spot for him, both course type wise and quality of field.

Sam Bairstow at 40/1 also catches the eye. He looked set to win last week in Singapore, but for a few slip ups over the weekend. The Englishman played well and has potential to win tournaments such as this one.

My other ‘like’, at big odds is Matthew Baldwin. A bit in and out with form, but able to contend at this level. And so, the 110/1 available looks very appealing.



Suggested bets:

Sebastian Soderberg (28/1) - 2 points each-way

Sam Bairstow (40/1) - 1 point each-way

Matthew Baldwin (110/1) - 0.5 points each-way

*odds correct at time of article publication


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