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BMW International Open tips: Thomas Pieters good value in Germany, Joe Dean could surprise again

The DP World Tour makes its way over to Germany this week, where the BMW International Open offers plenty of good value betting options for golf pundit Martin Colwell to explore.

BMW International Open key stats:

  • When: July 4 - 7 2024
  • Where: Golfclub Munchen Eichenried, Munich, Germany
  • How long: 7,284 yards - par 72
  • What to expect: Generous fairways, creeping bentgrass greens,, generally low-scoring but some tricky holes to navigate
  • Who won last year: Thriston Lawrence (-13) 

Patrick Reed remains on the DP World Tour this week as he bids to gain a belated entry into the Open Championship at Royal Troon later this month. 

His game seemed in decent enough shape when finishing five shots off the pace at last week’s Italian Open, but looks like he is past his competitive best these days, which makes his 16/1 price tag look a little stingy.

Ryan Fox shares favouritism with the American, and the New Zealander should find the wide fairways to his liking. His best game could take this course apart but he has struggled to string four good rounds together and that inconsistency puts a question mark over his current odds.

Thomas Pieters gets a break from LIV Golf, where he has struggled to make an impact, finishing mid-division in seven of his nine outings.

The Belgian has been given a sponsor's invite to appear in Germany this week and will be keen to replicate the form he showed at his home country’s Soudal Open in May. 

He was favourite at that tournament and lived up to his top billing for the most part, but his five-under-par final round just failed to reel in Nacho Elvira, who hung on by one stroke.

Suggested bet (1): Thomas Pieters each-way in the BMW International Open


Bernd Wiesberger disappointed a bit last week after beginning to trend like a winner on the DP World Tour. Perhaps he can bounce back this week, but the bookmakers are taking no chances at odds of 18/1.

Last year’s winner Thriston Lawrence can be found at 28/1, and the fact that he has proven form on this course must hold him in good stead for his title defence. 

His game has struggled on on the USPGA Tour where he has missed three out of four cuts, but he will arrive off the back of coming runner-up at the European Open on his last DP World Tour appearance a month ago

Keita Nakajima finished sixth behind Lawrence at Green Eagle, which continued the form shown when he won the Indian Open in March, which was followed by another top-10 finish in Japan.

He was clearly in good form before he took the Tour break, and if he arrives with his game in similar good order, then he could be a very interesting each-way prospect at 22/1 here.

Suggested bet (2): Keita Nakajima each-way in the BMW International Open


Others to watch:

  • Guido Migliozzi (28/1) - Winner of the KLM Open two weeks ago, difficult to see him popping up again so soon, but this course should suit, so you never know
  • Joost Luiten (33/1) - Runner-up behind Lawrence when he should have won (two-over final round), might be a leap of faith here but 33/1 looks reasonable for place purposes.
  • Sean Crocker (40/1) - Good driver of the golf ball with reasonable course form, he has been putting well lately and finished third last week in Italy - looks solid each-way value.
  • Joe Dean (75/1) - We’ll give Joe one more chance, despite last week’s weak follow-up to his runner-up spot at the KLM Open. He was previously trending like a winner, so could make 75/1 odds look huge

Suggested bet (3): Joe Dean each-way in the BMW International Open


Suggested bet summary:

All listed prices are from Planet Sport Bet and are correct at time of article publication, but could be subject to change


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