Mickelson wobbles but stays on course for fairytale win: Final round preview of the PGA Championship
Left-hander holds a one-shot lead going into the last day at Kiawah Island where he’ll seek to become the oldest Major winner in history.
Koepka has won four Majors since the start of 2017 and has dominated scoring in these championships over the last five years.
But Mickelson has more than one rival to fend off on a final day where anything could happen if the winds pick up.
Looking for someone outside the final pairing?
— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) May 23, 2021
- 28 of the last 29 major champions were top-5 entering the final round
- 29 straight majors won by players within 4 of the lead through 54 holes
Phil Mickelson - 1st on 7-under (70-69-70)
Brooks Koepka - 2nd on 6-under (69-71-70)
Beware, Major monster lurking! Koepka is the 13/8 favourite going into the final round and it's not hard to see why given his brilliant record at this level.
Louis Oosthuizen - 3rd on 5-under (71-68-72)
History says he tends to be the bridesmaid from this position and one concern is that Oosthuizen has played the tough closing holes in a combined 5-over.
Kevin Streelman - 4th on 4-under (70-72-70)
Christiaan Bezuidenhout - T5th on 3-under (71-70-72)
Branden Grace - T5th on 3-under (70-71-72)
Bryson DeChambeau - T7th on 2-under (72-71-71)
We've waited for Bryson to take the tournament by the scruff of the neck but there's been too much snakes and ladders from golf's biggest hitter.
Joaquin Niemann - T7th on 2-under (71-72-71)
Gary Woodland - T7th on 2-under (70-72-72)
Conclusions
34 players have been in the top-5 entering the final round of a major 5+ times in the last 25 years
— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) May 22, 2021
The players with the 2 best scoring averages in those situations?
1. Oosthuizen, 70.14
2. Koepka, 70.20
Phil is 7th, at 70.78
Mickelson at 3/1 with Paddy Power will have his backers but perhaps a large contingent of sentimental ones too.
Oosthuizen at 6/1 (Hills) could be a spot of value and surely he can't go through his career without a win Stateside. Having a Major in the bag already (2010 Open) will help his cause.
But perhaps the each-way value lies with Christiaan Bezuidenhout at 25/1, who sits four back.
It will be tough but he's held firm so far and doesn't really have any weight of expectation on him unlike most of those around him.