Ashes tips: Ollie Robinson to get in the runs as Australia triumph again in second Test

The first Ashes Test did not go well for England - will things be any better in Adelaide for a pink-ball day-nighter? Planet Sport cricket tipster Dave Tickner weighs up the best tips for the clash.

England got just about everything wrong in Brisbane. Team selection, toss decision, talent, skill, application, and not having the head coach come out after the game and announce that they had expected to lose a wicket to the very first ball.

It's already starting to feel ominously like previous Ashes tours of Australia, where the magnificent urn-retaining side of 2010/11 stands out starkly in a sea of 4-0 and 5-0 defeats.

When: Thursday, December 16, 0400 GMT

Where: Adelaide Oval

Follow this game via the Planet Sport live cricket score centre here

(All text odds are correct at time of article publication, the ones in the pretty blue boxes are bang up-to-date)

Best tips for Australia v England in Adelaide

Australia to win at 8/15

Ollie Robinson top England run scorer (1st inns) at 33/1

Marnus Labuschagne top Australia run scorer (1st inns) at 11/4

Accepted wisdom has it that a day-night Test in Adelaide with the more responsive pink ball and half of each day's play happening under floodlights represents England's best chance of landing a blow in Australia.

It's not hard to see why that thought is so tempting. England's bowlers, with the exception of the rested Mark Wood, rely on guile and swing and movement off the surface to trouble top batsmen, and the pink ball tends to do a bit more both in the air and off the pitch.

There is also the thought that day-night Tests have wild fluctuations in conditions that might be hard to predict at the toss and can hand a side a significant advantage if they happen to have ball in hand at the right moment.

Indeed, we saw this on England's last tour Down Under when England's two most overtly 'English' bowlers, James Anderson and Chris Woakes, took full advantage of evening conditions and Australia were blitzed for just 138 in their second innings.

Sadly, England were already too far gone having made a mess of their own first innings in mostly blameless conditions. They only had the chance to inflict that second-innings damage because Steve Smith bafflingly failed to enforce the follow-on when everything pointed to it being an unusually straightforward call.

Australia went on to win by 120 runs.

Is the pink ball the key to victory?

England 's James Anderson and Stuart Broad inspect pink cricket balls

Yes, the pink ball should theoretically help England's bowlers. But it doesn't do Australia's any harm either. Yes, the pink ball should expose the technical frailties among some of Australia's batters. But have you watched England bat recently?

Australia have won all eight of the day-night Tests they have played, including five here at Adelaide.

Their premier bowlers all have unsurprisingly decent records in those games - and England will be enormously grateful to see Josh Hazlewood miss out - but so too their key batsmen. David Warner averages 60 with the pink ball, and Marnus Labuschagne 82.

England's only pink-ball win came against a mediocre West Indies side at home. They have lost all three of their day-night Tests away from home - one apiece in Australia, New Zealand and India - and lost them badly.

That 120-run defeat here four years ago is as good as it's got for England in these games, with an innings-and-49-run whacking in Auckland and a 10-wicket defeat inside two days in Ahmedabad earlier this year.

So while 8/15 might not seem a particularly big price for an Australia win. Given where the two teams stand after Brisbane, England's recent record in Australia (that's now 10 defeats and one draw in the last 11 Tests) and the sides' respective pink-ball records then it's precisely the sort of 8/15 you should be looking for if you're the sort of punter happy to get involved at that sort of price.

Unlike in Brisbane, there is also no real prospect of the weather playing a part beyond the sun beating down relentlessly on the players for in theory up to five days.

Ashes second Test top run scorer

Australia's Marnus Labuschagne

It's worth having a look at England's first-innings scores in those three day-night games away from home. Now Adelaide, Auckland and Ahmedabad have one obvious similarity but are very different venues with very different conditions.

England, though, can't bat at any of them. Their first-innings scores in those games are 227 in Adelaide, 58 in Auckland and 112 in Ahmedabad (followed up by 81 in the second innings).

From a punting perspective, this throws up something quite interesting.

With conditions so potentially extreme at certain times, and the difference between the usefulness of the new pink ball and the old one even more starkly apparent than with the red Kookaburra, there is real potential here for a rogue top batsman to emerge from a low-scoring car crash of an innings.

Craig Overton top-scored in the first innings at both Adelaide and Auckland despite batting eight for his 41* against Australia and at nine for his unbeaten 33 against New Zealand. Given the frailty of England's top order, similar numbers could work just as well here at a nice price.

If we're having an 8/15 headline bet, the least we can do is then go 33/1 with the next. Let's live a little. Ollie Robinson is the closest thing to Overton in this England line-up for, ahem, a few reasons.

But for now let's focus on batting. He made 42 in his very first Test innings for England back in the summer against New Zealand's formidable seam attack, with Rory Burns' 132 the only higher contribution in that particular innings.

He has a first-class hundred to his name and can score quickly when the mood takes him. We might very well get no run for our money here, but it's more than factored into a price that jumps out given all we know about England both in Australia and with the pink ball.

Looking at Australia, and their number three Marnus Labuschagne looks to have really solid top-bat credentials here at 11/4.

David Warner's pink-ball record is excellent - and includes a triple-century - but he rode his luck an awful lot in making 94 at Brisbane and is troubled by a rib injury. Steve Smith, meanwhile, looked distinctly mortal in a scratchy and brief innings at the Gabba.

Labuschagne, meanwhile, exuded class and control in his 72 and it was a major surprise when he was dismissed by the ruined Jack Leach. While Travis Head ultimately took top-bat honours, there was a freakishness to his undeniably brilliant innings that surely won't be repeated. Please.

Marnus, though, can surely be expected to carry on where he left off - except now even more determined to avoid any momentary lapse.

He has played four day-night Tests, all at home, and his first-innings contributions in those four games have been 81, 162, 143 and 47. Even that 'failure' of 47 against India looks slightly different when placed in the context of a top six where the next highest score was Cameron Green's 11.

Top-bat honours in that innings were eventually snaffled by Tim Paine, which would be annoying had you backed Marnus that day but adds fuel to the idea that pink-ball Tests might not produce rogue overall winners, however much England might wish for it, but can throw up the occasional win for a rogue punt.

If you think Australia might do an England, then Mitchell Starc at 40s is probably your man given he was striking the ball nicely in Brisbane, while 22/1 for keeper-batsman Alex Carey is also tempting.

But there are three top-class operators in Australia's top four, and the man at number five is clearly in a bit of nick as well. An Australia collapse can't be ruled out; it's just far less likely.