Terence Crawford vs Shawn Porter: A look at the longshot odds

It could well be Crawford's last fight under Top Rank's Bob Arum and after the veteran promoter criticised his appeal, the three-division king may have a point to prove.

Terence Crawford does not get dragged the distance.

Looking at the American's recent record shows it. And he looks primed to make sure his WBO welterweight world championship bout with Shawn Porter follows suit.

Crawford (37-0-0 28KOs) has an enviable record and remains unbeaten. But on closer inspection his knockout record of late is better than it seems.

Crawford holds a 76% knockout record, but look at his last 12 fights and his knockout record reads 10 from 12. Only Felix Diaz in 2017 and Vicktor Postol avoided the KO.

Former Olympic gold medalist Diaz retired hurt at the end of the 10th to hand Crawford victory.

Postol did better and lasted the 12 rounds and he was the last person to do so in the ring with Crawford. But he was battered over the course of the 36 minutes and the scorecards had a lopsided look with the American given the unanimous decision.

The likes of Amir Khan, Kell Brook, Jose Benavidez Jnr and Jeff Horn are just a selection of fighters who have been stopped by Crawford.

Fellow American Porter will no doubt provide a test for the Nebraska native, but he looks primed to get the job done inside the distance.

Crawford tends to get better as the fight goes on and taking the 13/2 about a finish on rounds 10 to 12 could well be the way to side with the favourite.

It could well be Crawford's last fight under Top Rank's Bob Arum. And after the veteran promoter criticised the 34-year-old's appeal, he may well have a point to prove.

Crawford has not managed to get the big fights previously but Las Vegas-based Porter poses a big threat

He is a former two-time welterweight world champion with eye-catching wins over Yordenis Ugas, Danny Garcia and Adrien Broner.

Ring rusty?

Porter though has not had a fight since August 2020 - the points win over Sebastian Formella. And he will undoubtedly be ring rusty.

He knows he will have to try and unsettle his rival, whose counter-punching style has served him well throughout his career.

"I don't want you to be comfortable in the ring, and I'm willing to do whatever it takes to make you uncomfortable. We got a great fight on our hands," said Porter.

"I think it's timing," said Porter. "I think he [Crawford] gets into a rhythm and timing that fits him and what he likes to do."

Porter looks primed to pressure Crawford, but with a lack of rounds in his legs, fatigue could hit late on when Crawford is tipped to do most damage.

Crawford for his part was last in the ring against Brook in November 2020 and it would not be a surprise if they both slowed in the championship rounds.

But Crawford's skills should see him home in Las Vegas on Saturday and the first stoppage of Porter's career could be on the cards.

How does Porter produce an upset?

Porter believes he has the gameplan to beat "Bud" and become a three-time world champion.

He has standout wins over Danny Garcia, Andre Berto, Adrien Broner, Devon Alexander and Paulie Malignaggi.

The last name on that list is his sole knockout victory in world championship bouts. The American blasted Malignaggi out in four rounds in the first defence of his reign as IBF welterweight champion back in 2014.

Since then, he has just two wins inside the distance and boasts 17 wins via KO/TKO from 31 pro wins. Porter is not known as the biggest of punchers but like Malignaggi, Crawford is a former champion at 140lbs.

The only time we have seen Crawford rocked was against Egidijus Kavaliauskas in 2019, who knocked the three-division king to the canvas only for it to be declared as a no contest. For Porter to earn victory, he will have to fight aggressively and somehow look for a stoppage.

Read more: Betting preview: Terence Crawford to remind fans of his greatness

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