Wednesday NBA top tip: Cleveland Cavaliers defence to hold firm against the Milwaukee Bucks
Tipstrr basketball expert George Dempsey has been studying the form in the NBA, and has picked out his best value bet from tonight's clash between Cleveland Cavaliers and Milwaukee Bucks.
Two NBA heavyweights clash this evening, as the 22-8 Milwaukee Bucks visit the 21-11 Cleveland Cavaliers. The Bucks have posted a 17-11-2 record against the spread (ATS), whilst the Cavs are similarly 17-13-2 ATS.
The Cavaliers have won four straight and will be playing their fifth game in eight days, but this will be the fourth straight at home, so travel fatigue is not a factor.
The Bucks are 3-1 in the same period, overcoming a beat-up Warriors team and the lowly Jazz before losing out to the Grizzlies.
The best way to analyse this game is by looking at each team in their respective roles of home team and away team, and there's a real disparity between the two.
It's important to note that the Bucks, on their travels here, are also exponentially better on home court. They're a solid 14-3 in Milwaukee, and 8-5 away. So to have Cleveland as a slim -2 favourite in the handicap market can't help but pique the interest.
They do, however, rank next to last in points scored per game, but that's a misleading number with the Cavs ranking in the middle of the pack on their home court.
That's a huge drop off. They're struggling to score and they're struggling to impose their pace and style during road games.