NBA playoff preview and tips: Golden State Warriors @ Sacramento Kings

George DempseyGeorge Dempsey15 April 2023
Golden State Warriors guard Steph Curry

Golden State Warriors guard Steph Curry

Sacramento Kings will look to make the most of home advantage as they welcome Golden State Warriors in an NBA playoff quarter-final.

If it's entertainment you're after then the Golden 1 Center is the play to be on Saturday night. The Warriors and the Kings are two explosive offences, with the series made all the more interesting by Sacramento holding the home advantage.

The Warriors have been ever present in the championship discussion in recent years and many experts thought they'd make a better fist of things this season.
Their imperious home form has been undone by their defensive deficiencies on their travels, leaking points and posting an 11-30 road record.
Only three teams in the NBA have a worse road record than the Warriors, and those are the three sides with the worst overall records in the league, Houston, San Antonio and Detroit.
Sacramento were the surprise package in 2023 but their relentless tempo and league-leading offence mean they have a chance of winning this series. Either way, it's expected to last at least six games.
No side in the league averages more points from beyond the arc per game than the Warriors, although the Kings aren't a million miles behind, ranking fifth in the league.
No team plays at a faster pace than Golden State and the Kings should be happy to run and gun with them for the early stages of this contest.
De'Aaron Fox (25ppg), Domantas Sabonis (19ppg), Steph Curry (29.4ppg) and Klay Thompson (22pg) are having super seasons, chipping in with a combined 22 assists between them on average.
The over has been the bet all season long at Golden 1 Center with 25 of Sacramento's 38 home games going over the total.
The Warriors have been unable to stop anyone scoring on their travels, allowing around 223 points per game, so this explosive Kings offence should have no problem scoring at will and contributing to this game going over the total.

Standout Trends

Over is 23-10-1 in Sacramento's last 34 games against a team with a losing road record.
Over is 25-12-1 in Sacramento's last 38 home games.
Over is 40-15 in Sacramento's last 55 against a team with a winning home record.
Over is 35-15-2 in Sacramento's last 52 games on the road.

Suggested Bets

Over 233.5 points

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