Luton Town vs Everton tips and predictions: Leaky Hatters to suffer hammer blow

Four home wins on the spin have carried Everton to Premier League survival, but roles will be reversed on Friday as Luton Town scrap to escape the drop zone.

The Hatters are a point behind Nottingham Forest with three games remaining and despite the Toffees' fantastic form, this game could come at a good time for them.

Everton are winless in 10 on their travels and it’s only natural they’d drop their levels now that survival is mathematically guaranteed.

On the other hand, Luton have collapsed. Rob Edwards’ side claimed 20 points from their first 21 matches, yet they’ve only managed six from their last 15 fixtures.

Their final away game sees them visit West Ham United, who may be fighting for a place in Europe, so their home fixtures with the Merseyside club and Fulham are must-wins.

Notably, Town have recorded two wins against Everton this season, one in the Premier League and one in the FA Cup, but that may just motivate the visitors.

Since beating Brighton 4-0 on January 20, Luton have shipped just shy of an average of 2.8 goals per game. Seven sides have put three or more past them during that run.

Dyche’s side aren’t known for being prolific, but they are a stingy defence. Their last eight wins have been to nil and they typically hold their hosts to one or fewer goals.

You can’t concede that many goals at this level and expect to win games and survive, so with the bookies pricing this match as a toss-up, we’ll happily side with the visitors.

 

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Team news

Tom Lockyer, Issa Kabore, Marvelous Nakamba, Jacob Brown, Amari’i Bell, Chiedozie Ogbene, Mads Andersen and Dan Potts have been ruled out.

The visitors will be without Nathan Patterson, Dele Alli, Beto, Seamus Coleman, Vitaliy Mykolenko and Lewis Dobbin.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin missed the 1-0 win over Brentford due to illness but is expected to return to the squad for Friday’s match.

 

Key stats

- Luton Town have won one of their last 15 matches
- Both teams have scored in 80% of Luton’s Premier League matches
- There have been under 3.5 goals in 16 of Everton’s last 19 matches
- There have been under 2.5 goals in 12 of Everton’s last 18 matches
- Everton’s last eight Premier League wins have been to nil

 

Suggested bets

Everton: Draw no bet

Both teams to score

 

Emma's offer: Luton v Everton Bet £10, get £5 free bet if Everton win the match