Friday EFL acca tips: Tight tussle between West Brom and Leeds, Rotherham overlooked again
- George Dempsey
- 28 December 2023
Last weekend’s successful effort marked our fifth acca win since August, and now we’re looking ahead to Friday evening's EFL fixture list.
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Friday’s EFL acca is priced at 16/1 at the time of writing.
EFL acca
West Brom vs Leeds: Under 2.5 goals
Bristol Rovers vs Charlton: Both teams to score
West Brom vs Leeds United
Leeds may be the best home team in the league, but they’ve already lost as many games on their travels as some teams in the mid to lower reaches of the Championship table.
West Brom are not considered a contender for automatic promotion, but a win against Leeds could change that.
The Baggies have won seven and lost just two of their 12 home games and have already taken a point off of Leeds at Elland Road.
The statistics show that Leeds have started to struggle to create clear-cut chances from open play, with a large percentage of their xG coming from set pieces and penalties.
Leeds are the only team who have a stronger home defence than West Brom, who are allowing visiting teams a measly 0.79xG.
There have been under 2.5 goals in seven of nine at the Hawthrowns and in five of six Leeds away games, so this should be a game of fine margins.
Coventry City vs Swansea City
Coventry have turned a corner and they’re unbeaten in 11 of 12 at home. More recently, they’ve won five of eight with a clean sheet.
The three games they failed to win were against Ipswich, Leeds and Southampton, and here they have the benefit of hosting a fragile Swansea side.
The Swans will be keen to bounce back from a 5-0 thrashing but they’re allowing 2.11 goals per game since November 11, compared to 0.44 for Coventry.
Rotherham vs Sunderland
At first glance, this looks like a routine away win. A struggling side, rock-bottom of the table and hosting a play-off chasing team who need to bounce back.
The Millers just beat Middlesbrough 1-0 and have avoided defeat in eight of 12 at home. Coventry, Luton and Leicester are the only top-six sides to win at New York Stadium in 2023.
Across 40 Championship home games, only six teams have beat Rotherham by two goals. On the other hand, Sunderland has failed to win six of seven against bottom-half teams.
Bristol Rovers vs Charlton Athletic
Matt Taylor is enjoying a new manager bounce at Bristol Rovers. The Gas have beaten Bolton and League One leaders Portsmouth over the festive period.
It’s important note they were in decent form anyway. Joey Barton talked himself out of a job, but on the pitch, Rovers have lost two of 10 and none at home since early August.
Charlton have been very tough to beat but they are winless in four and not the best on their travels.
Both teams have formed a habit of scoring and conceding, and the Addicks may be set on revenge here, so both teams to score feels sensible.
Barrow vs Accrington Stanley
Barrow have been flying in League Two. Their seven-game win streak was ended on Boxing Day, but not before they took a 2-0 lead against Stockport.
Despite being pegged back, a 2-2 draw with the league leaders must feel like a continuation of their fine form. They became the first visitor to score a goal since Notts County in October.
Visitors Accrington were a part of our winning acca last time out but they struggled on their travels. They’ve lost three of four and concede two per game, whereas Barrow give little away.
